Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie C - Group B - Round 5
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 45', Cucciniello F. P. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Maressa T. ↓, La Marca M. ↑, 
 - 57', 1 - 0, Di Bitonto A. ⚽, 
 - 62', Baldini E. ↓, Minaj E. ↑, 
 - 63', Tuzza S. ↓, Lionetti G. ↑, 
 - 64', Podda L. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑, 
 - 64', Tommasini C. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑, 
 - 68', Cucciniello F. P. ↓, Dimatteo S. ↑, 
 - 70', Hraiech S. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑, 
 - 76', De Santis E. 🟨, 
 - 80', Carraro F. ↓, Conti V. ↑, 
 - 80', Spina M. ↓, Minta A. ↑, 
 - 84', Brambilla A. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑, 
 - 86', Djankpata H. 🟨, 
 - 90+6',  🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Gubbio  57.4% | Draw  27.4% | Bra  15.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Gubbio - Bra Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.63 ↑ (1.6) | 
			   3.41 ↓ (3.57) | 
			   6.14 ↑ (5.32) | 
			   7.2% (9.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In recent matches, Gubbio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Bra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  - In this match, Gubbio is the obvious favorite.
  - Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
                         
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Bra?
                    
                    
                        
                            Gubbio has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Bra won against Gubbio?
                    
                    
                        
                             Bra has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Bra were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Arezzo | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | 18 | 31 | 
| 2 | Ravenna | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 30 | 
| 3 | Ascoli | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:3 | 19 | 27 | 
| 4 | Forli | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 | 
| 5 | Guidonia | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 20 | 
| 6 | Ternana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 | 
| 7 | Carpi | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Gubbio | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 | 
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 | 
| 10 | Pineto | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 | 
| 11 | Campobasso | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 | 
| 12 | Sambenedettese | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 | 
| 13 | Pianese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 | 
| 14 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 | 
| 15 | Pontedera | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 12 | 
| 16 | Bra | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 10 | 
| 17 | Livorno | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 | 
| 18 | Perugia | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 | 
| 19 | Torres | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 7 | 
| 20 | Rimini | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | -1 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie B
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
      Serie C ~ Play Out
      Relegation