HLM vs Guédiawaye – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


HLM
32.5%
Draw
37.2%
Guédiawaye
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 37.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 39.8% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Guédiawaye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HLM than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • HLM - Guédiawaye Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.8)
    2.42
    (2.37)
    2.96
    (3)
    11.4%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)
    • HLM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guédiawaye is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guédiawaye may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, HLM won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, HLM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HLM - Guédiawaye were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Guédiawaye - HLM 0:1
    03.11.2024 Guédiawaye - HLM 0:1
    Latest results of HLM
    25.04.2026 Teungueth - HLM 1:0
    20.04.2026 HLM - Stade de Mbour 1:1
    11.04.2026 Wally Daan - HLM 2:1
    29.03.2026 HLM - AJEL de Rufisque 3:0
    25.03.2026 Ouakam - HLM 1:0
    Latest results of Guédiawaye
    25.04.2026 Guédiawaye - Camberene 0:0
    29.03.2026 Guédiawaye - Pikine 1:3
    26.03.2026 Sonacos - Guédiawaye 0:3
    08.03.2026 Linguère - Guédiawaye 1:3
    Senegal Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AJEL25128522:16644
    2Teungueth251013217:61143
    3US Goree251012325:91642
    4Wally Daan25911523:18538
    5Generation F2599728:181036
    6Ouakam25616315:10534
    7Casa25518223:16733
    8Pikine25711718:14432
    9Jaraaf25711716:16032
    10Mbour25416515:16-128
    11ASC HLM25415615:21-627
    12Dakar SC25414722:31-926
    13Guediawaye25671224:28-424
    14Sonacos254101116:33-1722
    15Linguere253121018:31-1321
    16AS Camberene252131012:26-1419

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation