Guido Ivan Justo vs Gonzalo Bueno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
58%65%
1st serve points won
65% (33/51)53% (27/51)
2nd serve points won
49% (18/37)39% (11/28)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)54% (7/13)
1st return points won
47% (24/51)35% (18/51)
2nd return points won
61% (17/28)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)30% (3/10)
Winners
3216
Unforced errors
3436
Net points won
69% (9/13)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
58% (51/88)48% (38/79)
Return Points Won
52% (41/79)42% (37/88)
Total Points Won
55% (92/167)45% (75/167)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
02
Service games won
77% (10/13)54% (7/13)
Return games won
46% (6/13)23% (3/13)
Total games won
62% (16/26)38% (10/26)

Chances of winning


Guido Ivan Justo
40.2%
Gonzalo Bueno
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 67.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Ivan Justo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.49)

    1.57
    (1.48)
    7.9%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Justo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Bueno will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bueno: 82.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gonzalo Bueno will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Justo is ranked ATP: 347. Bueno is ranked ATP: 218.
    • Justo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bueno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Justo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bueno could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Justo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno were as follows:
    22.01.2026 Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno 1:2
    24.06.2025 Gonzalo Bueno - Guido Ivan Justo 2:0
    09.02.2024 Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno 1:2
    Latest results of Gonzalo Bueno
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Varillas J. P.2 : 1
    2Zanellato N. (Q)La Serna J. M.1 : 2
    3Zarate C. M. (WC)Damas M.2 : 1
    4Pagani D. (WC)Midon L. (5)0 : 2
    5Rodriguez Taverna S. (4)Palosi S. (Q)1 : 2
    6Sakamoto P.Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    7Schiessl J. E. (Q)Villanueva G.0 : 2
    8Cadenasso G.Kicker N. (8)0 : 2
    9Agamenone F. (7)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Fernandez B. (Q)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    12Ambrogi L. E. (RET.) (Alt)Olivieri G. A. (3)0 : 1
    13Collarini A. (6)Ratti L. (WC)2 : 0
    14Torres J. B.Kestelboim M. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Zeitune M. (Q)Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    16Dutra Da Silva D.Bueno G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)La Serna J. M.1 : 2
    2Zarate C. M.Midon L. (5)0 : 2
    3Palosi S.Sanchez Jover C.1 : 2
    4Villanueva G.Kicker N. (8)2 : 1
    5Justo G. I.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    6Fernandez B.Olivieri G. A. (3)2 : 1
    7Collarini A. (6)Torres J. B.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Bueno G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1La Serna J. M.Midon L. (5)1 : 2
    2Sanchez Jover C.Villanueva G.2 : 0
    3Justo G. I.Fernandez B.2 : 0
    4Collarini A. (6)Bueno G. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Midon L. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    2Justo G. I.Bueno G. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Midon L. (5)Justo G. I.1 : 2