Lautaro Midon vs Guido Ivan Justo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
50
1st serve percentage
58%65%
1st serve points won
58% (26/45)62% (38/61)
2nd serve points won
33% (11/33)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
36% (4/11)56% (5/9)
1st return points won
38% (23/61)42% (19/45)
2nd return points won
55% (18/33)67% (22/33)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)64% (7/11)
Winners
2527
Unforced errors
4435
Net points won
64% (9/14)85% (11/13)
Service Points Won
47% (37/78)56% (53/94)
Return Points Won
44% (41/94)53% (41/78)
Total Points Won
45% (78/172)55% (94/172)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
42% (5/12)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)58% (7/12)
Total games won
36% (9/25)64% (16/25)

Chances of winning


Lautaro Midon
51.6%
Guido Ivan Justo
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lautaro Midon's form might have worsened.
  • Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guido Ivan Justo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.57)

    1.89
    (2.28)
    7.6%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo?
  • Users Predictions: Guido Ivan Justo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guido Ivan Justo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Midon is ranked ATP: 226. Justo is ranked ATP: 347.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Justo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo were as follows:
    04.09.2025 Guido Ivan Justo - Lautaro Midon 1:2
    09.09.2023 Guido Ivan Justo - Lautaro Midon 0:2
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon
    Latest results of Guido Ivan Justo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Varillas J. P.2 : 1
    2Zanellato N. (Q)La Serna J. M.1 : 2
    3Zarate C. M. (WC)Damas M.2 : 1
    4Pagani D. (WC)Midon L. (5)0 : 2
    5Rodriguez Taverna S. (4)Palosi S. (Q)1 : 2
    6Sakamoto P.Sanchez Jover C.0 : 2
    7Schiessl J. E. (Q)Villanueva G.0 : 2
    8Cadenasso G.Kicker N. (8)0 : 2
    9Agamenone F. (7)Justo G. I.0 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Fernandez B. (Q)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    12Ambrogi L. E. (RET.) (Alt)Olivieri G. A. (3)0 : 1
    13Collarini A. (6)Ratti L. (WC)2 : 0
    14Torres J. B.Kestelboim M. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Zeitune M. (Q)Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    16Dutra Da Silva D.Bueno G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)La Serna J. M.1 : 2
    2Zarate C. M.Midon L. (5)0 : 2
    3Palosi S.Sanchez Jover C.1 : 2
    4Villanueva G.Kicker N. (8)2 : 1
    5Justo G. I.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    6Fernandez B.Olivieri G. A. (3)2 : 1
    7Collarini A. (6)Torres J. B.2 : 1
    8Roncadelli F.Bueno G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1La Serna J. M.Midon L. (5)1 : 2
    2Sanchez Jover C.Villanueva G.2 : 0
    3Justo G. I.Fernandez B.2 : 0
    4Collarini A. (6)Bueno G. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Midon L. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    2Justo G. I.Bueno G. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Midon L. (5)Justo G. I.1 : 2