Pontedera vs Guidonia Montecelio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera).

Serie C - Group B - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia

Match Stats


Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
7	6
Corner kicks
5	1
Yellow cards
3	3
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
11	3
Corner kicks
5	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Frascatore P. 🟨,
38', Paolieri L. 🟨,
45+2', Errico A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Tessiore A. ⚽,
58', Dell'Aquila F. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
62', Faggi F. 🟨,
63', Errico A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
66', Faggi F. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
67', Tessiore A. 🟨,
74', Kabashi E. ↓, Emmanuello S. ↑,
74', Nabian H. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
75', Franchini S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
81', Tessiore A. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
88', Vitali P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Pontedera
42.5%

Draw
30%

Guidonia Montecelio
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

29.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guidonia Montecelio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guidonia Montecelio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.85)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	3.36 ↑ (2.43)	8.4% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Guidonia Montecelio?

Pontedera has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guidonia Montecelio won against Pontedera?

Guidonia Montecelio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio were as follows:

08.11.2025 Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera 2:0

Latest results of Pontedera

09.03.2026 Perugia - Pontedera 2:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Pontedera - Juventus U23 0:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Vis Pesaro - Pontedera 1:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:3 ✺

15.02.2026 Pontedera - Gubbio 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio

08.03.2026 Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese 0:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Sassari Torres - Guidonia Montecelio 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio 0:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Pianese - Guidonia Montecelio 0:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Guidonia Montecelio - Forlì 2:2 ✺

Italian Serie C Group B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arezzo	31	21	7	3	54:20	34	70
2	Ascoli	31	19	8	4	55:20	35	65
3	Ravenna	32	18	7	7	45:30	15	61
4	Pineto	31	13	9	9	41:38	3	48
5	Campobasso	31	14	8	9	43:35	8	48
6	Pianese	31	10	14	7	33:30	3	44
7	Juventus U23	31	12	8	11	39:38	1	44
8	Gubbio	31	10	13	8	28:26	2	43
9	Vis Pesaro	31	10	13	8	32:29	3	43
10	Ternana	31	13	9	9	37:31	6	43
11	Livorno	32	10	7	15	33:46	-13	37
12	Guidonia	31	8	12	11	25:28	-3	36
13	Forli	31	9	8	14	38:46	-8	35
14	Carpi	32	8	10	14	30:42	-12	34
15	Perugia	31	7	11	13	32:38	-6	32
16	Torres	32	5	16	11	28:41	-13	31
17	Sambenedettese	32	6	11	15	25:34	-9	29
18	Bra	31	5	11	15	32:49	-17	26
19	Pontedera	31	3	10	18	26:55	-29	19
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie B
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
      Serie C ~ Play Out
      Relegation