Dunkerque vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Dunkerque - Guingamp
Result
1:0
14/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.44
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
83% (362/436)84% (394/468)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.06
Total shots
158
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
83% (362/436)84% (394/468)
Long passes
46% (24/52)44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
63% (65/104)66% (62/94)
Crosses
43% (3/7)64% (7/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.41
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1112
Tackles
71% (15/21)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5239
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.060.83
Goals prevented
0.06-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Rivera M. ⚽,
  • 62', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 66', Hemia A. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
  • 66', Siwe J. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
  • 66', Ghrieb R. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
  • 72', Ba A. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
  • 78', Nair S. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
  • 78', Skytta N. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Jaouen E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2k6zz2pa

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
41.2%		Draw
29.2%		Guingamp
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 29.8% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
    •

    Dunkerque - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.3 ↓
    (2.5)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.33)    		 3.18 ↑
    (2.85)    		 5.4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 50.9% – 95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Demouchy A. (Inactive) Labeau B. (Inactive) Maronnier L. (Inactive) Mendes J. A. (Inactive) Phiri L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Guingamp were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Dunkerque - Guingamp 3:1
    04.01.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 1:1
    13.04.2024 Dunkerque - Guingamp 0:1
    12.08.2023 Guingamp - Dunkerque 0:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    10.05.2025 Red Star - Dunkerque 1:1 ✺
    02.05.2025 Dunkerque - Laval 0:0 ✺
    25.04.2025 Troyes - Dunkerque 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Dunkerque - Grenoble 2:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Amiens - Dunkerque 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Guingamp
    10.05.2025 Pau - Guingamp 1:3 ✺
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2 ✺
    25.04.2025 Guingamp - Martigues 2:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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