Result
0:0
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (460/512) | 86% (335/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (460/512) | 86% (335/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 53% (26/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (97/124) | 71% (70/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Doucet L. 🟥,
- 64', Sylvestre E. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 70', Mbemba F. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
- 70', Sidibe K. 🟨,
- 71', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 75', Demoncy Y. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 79', Zossou A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
- 79', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 82', Koffi E. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
- 83', Matumona J. 🟨,
- 87', Sekongo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dunkerque
42.1% | Draw
29.2% | Guingamp
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guingamp's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dunkerque - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.78) |
3.22 ↓
(3.58) |
3.26 ↓
(4.11) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Dunkerque (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dunkerque will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Dunkerque is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Diong P.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D.
(Yellow Cards)
Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Samoura A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Ott G.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Guingamp?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Dunkerque?
Guingamp has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Guingamp were as follows:
23.09.2025
Guingamp
-
Dunkerque
2:1
14.05.2025
Dunkerque
-
Guingamp
1:0
07.04.2025
Dunkerque
-
Guingamp
3:1
04.01.2025
Guingamp
-
Dunkerque
1:1
13.04.2024
Dunkerque
-
Guingamp
0:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
