Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 7
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (278/339) | 90% (434/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (278/339) | 90% (434/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 59% (22/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (50/68) | 84% (96/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mbemba F. ⚽, Hemia A. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Hemia A. ⚽, Ott G. (A),
- 43', Lavin M. ↓, Niflore M. ↑,
- 44', 2 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yassine G. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 54', Eguaras I. 🟨,
- 59', Eguaras I. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
- 59', Sekongo A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 72', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 73', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 73', Ott G. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
- 76', Mbemba F. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
- 76', Kante A. ↓, Robinet T. ↑,
- 82', Hemia A. 🟨,
- 87', Kondo G. 🟨,
- 87', Hatchi J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zossou A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ourega D. ↓, Koffi E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3rk5wpse
Chances of winning
Guingamp
56.4% | Draw
25% | Dunkerque
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guingamp's performance.Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guingamp - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.09) |
5.19 ↑
(3.55) |
7.43 ↑
(3.16) |
-19.4%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sagna A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sangante O.
(Red Card)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Dunkerque?
Guingamp has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Guingamp?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Dunkerque were as follows:
14.05.2025
Dunkerque
-
Guingamp
1:0
07.04.2025
Dunkerque
-
Guingamp
3:1
04.01.2025
Guingamp
-
Dunkerque
1:1
13.04.2024
Dunkerque
-
Guingamp
0:1
12.08.2023
Guingamp
-
Dunkerque
0:1
Latest results of Guingamp
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Red Star | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Nancy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Clermont | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Amiens | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Annecy | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Laval | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Bastia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
