Result
3:1
01/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/517) | 83% (313/378) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/98) | 73% (72/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 32% (6/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 84% (16/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Mendes J. A. ⚽, Labeau B. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Kouagba L. ⚽, Renel S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Labeau B. ↓, Siwe J. ↑,
- 58', Phiri L. ↓, Hemia A. ↑,
- 58', Ghrieb R. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
- 69', Mendes J. A. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
- 73', Benali H. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 73', Durand D. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
- 82', Mbock H. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Cisse K. ⚽,
- 89', Renel S. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 90+1', Siwe J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Cisse K. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/452ayxz9
Chances of winning
Red Star
33.7% | Draw
29.1% | Guingamp
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guingamp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Star - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3.05) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
2.53 ↑
(2.24) |
6.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Red Star is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Guingamp is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Red Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Guingamp have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Red Star: Beunardeau Q.
(Knee Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Meyapya B.
(Injury)
Slimani R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Basilio E.
(Injury)
Le Bris T.
(Injury)
Ndour A.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Red Star: Danger B.
(Injury)
Dembi F. J.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Guingamp?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Red Star?
Guingamp has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Guingamp were as follows:
30.08.2024
Guingamp
-
Red Star
3:4
Latest results of Red Star
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amiens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nancy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Laval | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Clermont | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | St Etienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bastia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Rodez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Red Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Annecy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
