Result
0:0
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (460/539) | 74% (196/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (460/539) | 74% (196/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (40/66) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (135/179) | 55% (52/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Laurent L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 57', Koffi E. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
- 57', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 65', Joly O. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 67', Sidibe K. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 69', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 80', Mendes J. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
- 80', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Jolibois C. ↑,
- 80', Benchamma S. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 89', Arconte T. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
- 90+2', Galves N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
51.2% | Draw
25.1% | Rodez
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Guingamp - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.96) |
3.74 ↑
(3.6) |
3.95 ↑
(3.46) |
6.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
- Guingamp has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rodez is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guingamp is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ott G.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Samoura A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Ponti R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rodez: Younoussa W.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Rodez?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Guingamp?
Rodez has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Rodez were as follows:
12.12.2025
Rodez
-
Guingamp
2:1
17.01.2025
Guingamp
-
Rodez
3:0
13.09.2024
Rodez
-
Guingamp
1:2
23.01.2024
Guingamp
-
Rodez
3:3
11.11.2023
Rodez
-
Guingamp
0:0
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
