Kunming City vs Guizhou Guiyang Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.70
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
71% (142/200)89% (425/479)
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.881.72
Total shots
719
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
628
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
71% (142/200)89% (425/479)
Long passes
34% (19/56)70% (33/47)
Passes in final third
49% (22/45)74% (121/164)
Crosses
0% (0/8)15% (6/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.94
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1810
Tackles
46% (6/13)60% (3/5)
Duels won
3043
Clearances
4230
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.720.88
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Hu H. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Zhang Wentao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Wu Zhongcan , Sun Xinkai ,
  • 46', Chen Xiangyu , Chen Chenzhenyang ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Cao Enze ,
  • 55', Tuyghun J. 🟨,
  • 60', Geng Xianglong , Cai Zhuohao ,
  • 69', Zhang Jiaxin , Zhou Z. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Lu Wentao ,
  • 71', Tang Daozheng , Bi Haoyang ,
  • 71', Wang S. , Zhang F. ,
  • 72', Tuyghun J. , Zhang J. ,
  • 75', Sun Z. 🟨,
  • 76', Ou L. 🟥,
  • 80', Yang H. , Adiljan Qeyser ,
  • 86', Shi Yiyi , Wang Xiao ,
  • 90+3', Sun Z. , Tang Xu ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Chen Chenzhenyang , Zhou Z. (A),
  • 90+4', Chen Chenzhenyang 🟨,
  • 90+6', Kong Yinquan 🟨,
  • 90+7', Zhang J. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Lu Wentao 🟥,
  • 90+11', 🟨,
  • 90+11', Zhang J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kunming City
19.7%
Draw
25.7%
Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.6% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 32.6% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kunming City's form might have worsened.
  • Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guizhou Guiyang Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kunming City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-19.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kunming City - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.64
    (2.8)
    3.55
    (2.88)
    1.68
    (2.53)
    9.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kunming City - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guizhou Guiyang will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guizhou Guiyang (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Recent form of Kunming City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Guizhou Zhucheng has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guizhou Zhucheng could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kunming City - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Kunming City 0:0
    Latest results of Kunming City
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B751113:6716
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei72503:1211
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Dalian Yingbo B71517:8-18
    7Nantong Haimen71428:627
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu71426:10-47
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang75028:6215
    2Guangzhou Dandelion741210:7313
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Jiangxi Lushan72328:629
    7Shenzhen723210:11-19
    8Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    9Ganzhou Ruishi71425:6-17
    10Wenzhou Professional70433:6-34
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )