Gustavo Heide vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Gstaad Gustavo Heide - Stefano Napolitano
Result
2:1
16/07/2024 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
67
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
62%62%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (53/70)71% (60/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (26/43)57% (30/53)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)90% (9/10)
1st Return Points Won
29% (25/85)24% (17/70)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (23/53)40% (17/43)
Break Points Converted
10% (1/10)40% (2/5)
Winners
4040
Unforced Errors
3442
Net Points Won
62% (13/21)74% (32/43)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
70% (79/113)65% (90/138)
Return Points Won
35% (48/138)30% (34/113)
Total Points Won
51% (127/251)49% (124/251)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
89% (16/18)94% (17/18)
Return Games Won
6% (1/18)11% (2/18)
Total Games Won
47% (17/36)53% (19/36)

Chances of winning


Gustavo Heide
54.6%
Stefano Napolitano
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gustavo Heide's performance.
  • Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gustavo Heide - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.16)

    2.09
    (1.71)
    5%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Gustavo Heide - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heide: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Heide could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gustavo Heide
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Bye
    2Stricker D. (WC)Herbert P.2 : 1
    3Cerundolo J. M.Struff J-L.2 : 1
    4Landaluce M. (NG)Goffin D. (WC)0 : 2
    5Zahraj P. (LL)Bye
    6Burruchaga R. A.Svrcina D.2 : 0
    7Majchrzak K.Atmane T.2 : 1
    8Buse I. (Q)Djere L. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Passaro F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Kym J. (WC)Hemery C. (Q)2 : 1
    11Cazaux A.Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    12ByeEtcheverry T. M. (4)
    13Comesana F. (7)Trungelliti M. (Q)2 : 0
    14Carballes Baena R.Taberner C.2 : 1
    15Shevchenko A.Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Stricker D.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Goffin D.2 : 1
    3Zahraj P.Burruchaga R. A.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.Buse I.1 : 2
    5Passaro F.Kym J.0 : 2
    6Cazaux A.Etcheverry T. M. (4)2 : 1
    7Comesana F. (7)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    8Shevchenko A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruud C. (1)Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2
    2Burruchaga R. A.Buse I.1 : 2
    3Kym J.Cazaux A.1 : 2
    4Comesana F. (7)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo J. M.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Cazaux A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo J. M.Bublik A. (2)1 : 2