Guy Den Ouden vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Matsuyama Challenger Men Guy Den Ouden - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
0:2
03/11/2024 at 23:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
55%61%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (28/48)81% (34/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (17/39)33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
57% (8/14)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
19% (8/42)42% (20/48)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (18/27)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)43% (6/14)
Service Points Won
52% (45/87)62% (43/69)
Return Points Won
38% (26/69)48% (42/87)
Total Points Won
46% (71/156)54% (85/156)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
50% (6/12)58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Guy Den Ouden
41.2%
Shintaro Mochizuki
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guy Den Ouden's form might have worsened.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guy Den Ouden - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.84)

    1.58
    (1.86)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 272. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 238.
    • Den Ouden is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Mochizuki is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Den Ouden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Guy Den Ouden
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Isomura K. (Q)Rodionov J.2 : 0
    2Sakamoto R. (WC)Ymer E.0 : 2
    3Watanuki Y.Zhou Y. (Q)2 : 1
    4Moriya H. (LL)Gigante M. (6)2 : 0
    5Tseng C. H. (3)Wong C.0 : 2
    6Dodig M. (RET.)Bolt A.0 : 1
    7Imai S. (LL)Demin Y.2 : 1
    8Katayama S. (WC)Atmane T. (8)0 : 2
    9Moreno De Alboran N. (5)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    10McCabe J. (Q)Paire B. (Q)2 : 1
    11Cina F.Sweeny D. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tu L.Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 1
    13Uchiyama Y. (7)Janvier M.2 : 1
    14Blockx A.Nakagawa S. (WC)2 : 0
    15Den Ouden G.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    16Basilashvili N. (SE)Sekulic P. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Isomura K.Ymer E.2 : 1
    2Watanuki Y.Moriya H.2 : 0
    3Wong C.Bolt A.0 : 2
    4Imai S.Atmane T. (8)0 : 2
    5Moreno De Alboran N. (5)McCabe J.2 : 0
    6Cina F.Tu L.2 : 1
    7Uchiyama Y. (RET.) (7)Blockx A.0 : 0
    8Mochizuki S.Basilashvili N.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Isomura K.Watanuki Y.0 : 2
    2Bolt A.Atmane T. (8)2 : 1
    3Moreno De Alboran N. (5)Cina F.2 : 0
    4Blockx A.Mochizuki S.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Watanuki Y.Bolt A.1 : 2
    2Moreno De Alboran N. (5)Blockx A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Bolt A.Moreno De Alboran N. (5)0 : 2