Aliaga vs Guzide Gebzespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Kilic H. , Cetin V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Aliaga
60.8%
Draw
23.3%
Guzide Gebzespor
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 23.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 19.7% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Guzide Gebzespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guzide Gebzespor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.39)
    3.87
    (3.89)
    5.7
    (7.9)
    10.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aliaga will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)
    • Aliaga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guzide Gebzespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guzide Gebzespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aliaga is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aliaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Guzide Gebzespor - Aliaga 1:0
    Latest results of Aliaga
    14.01.2026 Aliaga - Samsunspor 2:6
    24.12.2025 Igdirspor - Aliaga 2:2
    20.12.2025 Bursaspor - Aliaga 0:0
    Latest results of Guzide Gebzespor
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bursaspor28204471:175464
    2Aliaga28185564:194559
    3K. u0130stiklalspor28184671:234858
    4Mardin 196928184659:203958
    5Musspor28166662:313154
    6Guzide Gebzespor28159450:203054
    7Isparta 32 Spor28139654:312348
    8Ankara Demirspor281351041:38344
    9Menemenspor281261046:361042
    10Aksaray Bld281011746:321441
    11Trabzon FK281081041:41038
    12Fethiyespor28981146:341235
    13Arnavutkoy Bl28871329:34-531
    14Kirklarelispor28691334:43-927
    15Soma Spor28751634:56-2226
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu28532025:79-5415
    17Adanaspor AS ✔ 28112610:141-1314
    18Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 2802268:96-88-43

          Promotion ~ 1. Lig
          Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
    Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to