Aliaga vs Guzide Gebzespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Lig Red Group - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Kilic H. , Cetin V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Aliaga
60.8%
Draw
23.3%
Guzide Gebzespor
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 23.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 19.7% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Guzide Gebzespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guzide Gebzespor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.39)
    3.87
    (3.89)
    5.7
    (7.9)
    10.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aliaga will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)
    • Aliaga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guzide Gebzespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guzide Gebzespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aliaga is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aliaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Guzide Gebzespor - Aliaga 1:0
    Latest results of Aliaga
    14.01.2026 Aliaga - Samsunspor 2:6
    24.12.2025 Igdirspor - Aliaga 2:2
    20.12.2025 Bursaspor - Aliaga 0:0
    Latest results of Guzide Gebzespor
    Turkish Second League Red Group Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bursaspor32235477:185974
    2Aliaga32215680:265468
    3Mardin 1969 ✔ 32214765:244167
    4Musspor32206675:344166
    5K. u0130stiklalspor32194977:314661
    6Isparta 32 Spor31169664:343057
    7Guzide Gebzespor32169753:272657
    8Ankara Demirspor321461245:43248
    9Menemenspor321361349:47245
    10Trabzon FK321281248:45344
    11Aksaray Bld321013948:371143
    12Fethiyespor321191251:401142
    13Arnavutkoy Bl311071434:36-237
    14Kirklarelispor31791537:47-1030
    15Soma Spor32861838:60-2230
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu ✔ 30432322:88-6612
    17Adanaspor AS ✔ 31212814:152-1381
    18Yeni Malatyaspor ✔ 3002288:102-94-43

          Promotion ~ 1. Lig
          Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mardin 1969 is Qualified for 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs )
    Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is Relegated to
    Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
    Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to