Result
 
                    3:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  K League 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | Stan Sport | 
|  Austria | Laola1 | 
|  Germany | Laola1 | 
|  Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER | 
|  Russia | TV Start | 
|  South-korea | Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea | 
|  Switzerland | LAOLA1 | 
|  World | K League TV, Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 46% | 54% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 7 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 7 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 7 | 8 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Dugandzic M. 🟨, 
- 45+3', Choi Kyoung-Rok 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 59', Jeong J. ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑, 
- 59', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Cho Sung-Gwon ↑, 
- 68', 1 - 0, Dugandzic M. ⚽, 
- 74', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑, 
- 74', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑, 
- 75', Dugandzic M. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑, 
- 80', 2 - 0, Lee Seung-Mo ⚽, Kim Jin-Su (A), 
- 84', Choi Chul-Won 🟨, 
- 85', 3 - 0, Moon Seon-Min ⚽, Cho Young-Wook (A), 
- 86', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑, 
- 90', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑, 
- 90+5', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Cheon Seong-Hoon ↑, 
- 90+5', Al Arab Y. ↓, Park Seong-Hoon ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | FC Seoul 46.3%
 | Draw 29.2%
 | Gwangju 24.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.5%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        FC Seoul - Gwangju Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.04 ↑ (1.94)
 | 3.22 ↓ (3.4)
 | 3.91 ↓ (4.08)
 | 5.6% (5.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for FC Seoul - Gwangju?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seoul (votes: 1 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    FC Seoul will win 
                    (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 1.
- Seoul is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Seoul is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has FC Seoul won against Gwangju?
                    
                    
                        
                            FC Seoul has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against FC Seoul?
                    
                    
                        
                             Gwangju has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between FC Seoul - Gwangju were as follows:
                                                        
                                13.06.2025 
                                Gwangju 
                                - 
                                FC Seoul 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.04.2025 
                                FC Seoul 
                                - 
                                Gwangju 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.10.2024 
                                Gwangju 
                                - 
                                FC Seoul 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.06.2024 
                                FC Seoul 
                                - 
                                Gwangju 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.03.2024 
                                Gwangju 
                                - 
                                FC Seoul 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of FC Seoul                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Gwangju                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
South Korean K-League 1 Table
Main|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Jeonbuk | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 57:27 | 30 | 71 | 
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:37 | 16 | 55 | 
| 3 | Daejeon | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 48:41 | 7 | 55 | 
| 4 | Pohang | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:43 | -3 | 51 | 
| 5 | Seoul | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 | 
| 6 | Gangwon | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 44 | 
| 7 | Anyang | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 42:41 | 1 | 42 | 
| 8 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 42 | 
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39:43 | -4 | 40 | 
| 10 | Suwon FC | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48:53 | -5 | 38 | 
| 11 | Jeju SK | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 35:47 | -12 | 32 | 
| 12 | Daegu | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 41:62 | -21 | 27 | 
      Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
      K League 1 (Relegation Group: )