Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Germany | Laola1 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea |
 Switzerland | LAOLA1 |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Dugandzic M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Choi Kyoung-Rok 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 59', Jeong J. ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
- 59', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Cho Sung-Gwon ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Dugandzic M. ⚽,
- 74', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
- 74', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
- 75', Dugandzic M. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Lee Seung-Mo ⚽, Kim Jin-Su (A),
- 84', Choi Chul-Won 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 0, Moon Seon-Min ⚽, Cho Young-Wook (A),
- 86', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
- 90', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
- 90+5', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Cheon Seong-Hoon ↑,
- 90+5', Al Arab Y. ↓, Park Seong-Hoon ↑,
Chances of winning
FC Seoul
46.3% | Draw
29.2% | Gwangju
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
FC Seoul - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.94) |
3.22 ↓
(3.4) |
3.91 ↓
(4.08) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for FC Seoul - Gwangju?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seoul (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
FC Seoul will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 1.
- Seoul is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Seoul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Seoul is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Seoul won against Gwangju?
FC Seoul has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against FC Seoul?
Gwangju has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Seoul - Gwangju were as follows:
13.06.2025
Gwangju
-
FC Seoul
1:3
19.04.2025
FC Seoul
-
Gwangju
1:2
06.10.2024
Gwangju
-
FC Seoul
3:1
02.06.2024
FC Seoul
-
Gwangju
1:2
02.03.2024
Gwangju
-
FC Seoul
2:0
Latest results of FC Seoul
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 55:27 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu ✔ | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | Daejeon ✔ | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42:39 | 3 | 49 |
| 4 | Pohang | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 48 |
| 5 | Seoul | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 42 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | Anyang | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 37:39 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Suwon FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Ulsan HD | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Jeju SK ✔ | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39:60 | -21 | 26 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daejeon is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Jeju SK is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
