Pniówek Pawłowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/05/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Bedzieszak K. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Bak M. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 2 - 1, ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Pniówek Pawłowice
45.8%
Draw
24.5%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 23.1% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 22% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pniówek Pawłowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pniówek Pawłowice than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pniówek Pawłowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.85)
    3.7
    (3.95)
    3.05
    (3.3)
    10.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pniówek Pawłowice won 2.
    • Pniówek Pawłowice is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pniówek Pawłowice will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Pniówek Pawłowice won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-18.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pniówek Pawłowice won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry were as follows:
    07.10.2023 Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice 3:1
    22.04.2023 Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry 5:2
    17.09.2022 Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice 2:2
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora18116147:103739
    2BKS Sparta Katowice19115331:191238
    3Polkowice17113331:191236
    4Zaglebie II18104448:321634
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj1887329:21831
    6Carina Gubin1977529:32-328
    7Skra1877435:29628
    8Kluczbork1883729:21827
    9Warta Gorzow1875628:29-126
    10Jelenia Gora1773729:28124
    11Gornik Zabrze II1973936:27924
    12Nysa1858530:32-223
    13Sleza Wroclaw1863925:35-1021
    14Woliborz1854927:34-719
    15Legnica II18441029:39-1016
    16Pawlowice19431219:36-1715
    17Starowice Dolne18341116:39-2313
    18Stal Jasien18211521:57-367

          Promotion ~ Division 2
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          Relegation