Stal Brzeg vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group III Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Result
2:3
17/06/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 34

Chances of winning


Stal Brzeg
44.1%
Draw
25.4%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 21.4% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 20.8% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Brzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Brzeg's form might have worsened.
  • Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Brzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.7)
    3.56
    (4.25)
    2.96
    (3.65)
    10.7%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Brzeg won 1.
    • Stal Brzeg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Stal Brzeg will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Stal Brzeg won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stal Brzeg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg 4:0
    Latest results of Stal Brzeg
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Ol. GrudziadzBye
    2Blekitni StargardKluczbork3 : 0
    3Zaglebie IIBye
    4Podhale Nowy TargLegia II3 : 2

    Final
    1Ol. GrudziadzBlekitni Stargard2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Zaglebie IIPodhale Nowy Targ1 : 3, 3 : 2