Häcken vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Frid I. (Isr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.81
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
84% (492/583)78% (319/407)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.48
Total shots
189
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
84% (492/583)78% (319/407)
Long passes
42% (21/50)31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
68% (119/176)69% (64/93)
Crosses
22% (5/23)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.41
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1113
Tackles
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4346
Clearances
2340
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.480.69
Goals prevented
0.48-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Bajic R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Brusberg I. , Ngabo S. ,
  • 62', Lundkvist A. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Helander F. (Own goal),
  • 68', Naoum G. 🟨,
  • 74', Bajic R. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 75', Naoum G. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 78', Lindberg J. , Wembangomo B. ,
  • 78', Svanback A. , Hammar J. ,
  • 78', Lode M. , Leach S. ,
  • 84', Miramon , Garcia A. ,
  • 90', Ivanovic D. , Rubio W. ,
  • 90+1', Saborit E. , Roberge V. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Hammar J. ,
  • 90+6', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Pons P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Häcken
48.9%
Draw
26.2%
AEK Larnaca
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 28.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 28.3% 31%

Häcken - AEK Larnaca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.95
(2.28)
3.6
(3.24)
3.76
(3.02)
5.8%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Häcken - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 38.7%76.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.
    • Recent form of Häcken has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Häcken will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Al Saed D. (Inactive) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Injury) Komar K. (Broken Hand)
    • There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Roberge V. (Inactive) Rohden M. (Inactive) Saborit E. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Häcken
    27.11.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken 2:1
    09.11.2025 Mjällby - Häcken 1:0
    06.11.2025 Häcken - Strasbourg 1:2
    01.11.2025 Häcken - Malmö 1:1
    26.10.2025 AIK - Häcken 2:2
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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