Result
1:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Frid I. (Isr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 12 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 19 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 18 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (492/583) | 78% (319/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (492/583) | 78% (319/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (119/176) | 69% (64/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Bajic R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Brusberg I. ↓, Ngabo S. ↑,
- 62', Lundkvist A. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 1, Helander F. (Own goal),
- 68', Naoum G. 🟨,
- 74', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 75', Naoum G. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
- 78', Lindberg J. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
- 78', Svanback A. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
- 78', Lode M. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
- 84', Miramon ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
- 90+1', Saborit E. ↓, Roberge V. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Hammar J. ⚽,
- 90+6', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Pons P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Häcken
48.9% | Draw
26.2% | AEK Larnaca
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Larnaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Häcken - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.28) |
3.6 ↑
(3.24) |
3.76 ↑
(3.02) |
5.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Häcken - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 38.7% – 76.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - AEK Larnaca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - AEK Larnaca (2.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.
- Recent form of Häcken has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Häcken will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P.
(Back Injury)
Al Saed D.
(Inactive)
Laursen J.
(Knee Injury)
Vaisanen L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y.
(Injury)
Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Roberge V.
(Inactive)
Rohden M.
(Inactive)
Saborit E.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Häcken won against AEK Larnaca?
Häcken has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Häcken?
AEK Larnaca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Häcken - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
