Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 10
- Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (550/612) | 80% (318/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (550/612) | 80% (318/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (38/60) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (131/163) | 63% (68/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Leach S. ⚽, Rygaard M. (A),
- 44', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kalu J. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 58', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 58', Thern S. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
- 62', Nioule S. 🟨,
- 67', Ohman F. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
- 76', Lundkvist A. ↓, Engdahl B. ↑,
- 83', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Rapp J. ↑,
- 84', Brusberg I. ↓, Mitrovic N. ↑,
- 88', Larsson V. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 0, Leach S. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Häcken
49.4% | Draw
24.9% | Värnamo
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Häcken's form might have worsened.Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Värnamo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Häcken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Värnamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Häcken - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.68) |
3.84 ↓
(4.1) |
3.68 ↓
(4.7) |
5.4%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Häcken - Värnamo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Häcken will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 2.
- Recent performances by Häcken have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Värnamo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Häcken is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Häcken: Hammar J.
(Inactive)
Inoussa Z.
(Leg Injury)
Linde A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vaisanen L.
(Injury)
Wembangomo B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Häcken won against Värnamo?
Häcken has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Häcken?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Häcken - Värnamo were as follows:
25.08.2024
Häcken
-
Värnamo
1:1
20.07.2024
Värnamo
-
Häcken
2:2
22.07.2023
Värnamo
-
Häcken
1:0
27.08.2022
Häcken
-
Värnamo
4:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
