Result
1:5
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 21
- Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 4.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/358) | 83% (397/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 4.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 6.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/358) | 83% (397/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/107) | 77% (97/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 6.78 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.78 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Andersen S. ⚽, Leach S. (A),
- 17', Leach S. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 2, Brusberg I. ⚽, Al Saed D. (A),
- 28', 1 - 2, Shamoun N. ⚽, Zeljkovic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Brusberg I. ↓, Svanback A. ↑,
- 46', Dahbo P. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Dembe J. ⚽,
- 59', Samuelsson O. ↓, Lode M. ↑,
- 62', Al Saed D. ↓, Nioule S. ↑,
- 71', Antonsen K. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 72', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
- 80', Shamoun N. ↓, Larsson V. ↑,
- 80', Liimatta O. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 4, Svanback A. ⚽, Nioule S. (A),
- 87', Kujundzic A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 5, Svanback A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
28.1% | Draw
24.5% | Häcken
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Värnamo's form might have worsened.Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Värnamo - Häcken Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(2.7) |
3.93 ↓
(4) |
2.03 ↓
(2.18) |
3.5%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Häcken?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Häcken will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 30% – 70%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Häcken (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Häcken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Häcken?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Häcken won against Värnamo?
Häcken has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Häcken were as follows:
18.05.2025
Häcken
-
Värnamo
2:0
25.08.2024
Häcken
-
Värnamo
1:1
20.07.2024
Värnamo
-
Häcken
2:2
22.07.2023
Värnamo
-
Häcken
1:0
27.08.2022
Häcken
-
Värnamo
4:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 42:16 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | AIK | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | GAIS | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 38 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Hacken | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:43 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Sirius | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
| 14 | Oster | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
