Häcken vs Värnamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Häcken - Värnamo
Result
2:0
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 10
  • Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMax, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.43
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
90% (550/612)80% (318/399)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.84
Total shots
194
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
912
Passes
90% (550/612)80% (318/399)
Long passes
63% (38/60)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
80% (131/163)63% (68/108)
Crosses
12% (3/26)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.261.13
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
129
Tackles
53% (9/17)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.841.23
Goals prevented
0.67-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Leach S. , Rygaard M. (A),
  • 44', Alsalkhadi M. , Johansson C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kalu J. , Cibicki P. ,
  • 58', Zeljkovic A. , Bilalovic K. ,
  • 58', Thern S. , Junior Adjei F. ,
  • 62', Nioule S. 🟨,
  • 67', Ohman F. , Jansson S. ,
  • 76', Lundkvist A. , Engdahl B. ,
  • 83', Bjornstrom A. , Rapp J. ,
  • 84', Brusberg I. , Mitrovic N. ,
  • 88', Larsson V. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Leach S. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Häcken
49.4%
Draw
24.9%
Värnamo
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 23.2% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.6% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Häcken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Häcken's form might have worsened.
  • Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Värnamo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Häcken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Värnamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Häcken - Värnamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.68)
    3.84
    (4.1)
    3.68
    (4.7)
    5.4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Häcken - Värnamo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Häcken (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Häcken will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 2.
    • Recent performances by Häcken have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Värnamo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Häcken is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Häcken: Hammar J. (Inactive) Inoussa Z. (Leg Injury) Linde A. (Hamstring Injury) Vaisanen L. (Injury) Wembangomo B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Häcken - Värnamo were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Häcken - Värnamo 1:1
    20.07.2024 Värnamo - Häcken 2:2
    22.07.2023 Värnamo - Häcken 1:0
    27.08.2022 Häcken - Värnamo 4:1
    Latest results of Häcken
    14.05.2025 Häcken - AIK 3:3
    10.05.2025 Sirius - Häcken 2:0
    04.05.2025 Norrköping - Häcken 0:2
    27.04.2025 Häcken - Hammarby 1:1
    23.04.2025 Häcken - Degerfors 3:4
    Latest results of Värnamo
    15.05.2025 Värnamo - Malmö 2:2
    10.05.2025 GAIS - Värnamo 1:1
    03.05.2025 Halmstad - Värnamo 4:2
    27.04.2025 Värnamo - Norrköping 1:3
    24.04.2025 Värnamo - AIK 1:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby17124133:132040
    2Hammarby17113331:141736
    3AIK1795324:16832
    4Malmo FF1786325:121330
    5Elfsborg1692527:19829
    6GAIS1677224:131128
    7Goteborg1681721:22-125
    8Hacken1664624:25-122
    9Djurgarden1664615:17-222
    10Brommapojkarna1661921:22-119
    11Norrkoping1653825:29-418
    12Halmstad1652914:31-1717
    13Sirius1634921:28-713
    14Degerfors16411118:36-1813
    15Oster16331012:23-1112
    16Varnamo16141113:28-157

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan