Hailey Baptiste vs Jelena Ostapenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/03/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Hailey Baptiste
49.8%
Jelena Ostapenko
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.09)

    1.9
    (1.78)
    4.7%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Hailey Baptiste - Jelena Ostapenko?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 43.5%83.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Baptiste (votes: 2 - 50%). Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baptiste is ranked WTA: 45. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24.
    • Baptiste is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ostapenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hailey Baptiste
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Li A.Birrell K. (Q)2 : 1
    3McNally C.Masarova R. (Q)2 : 0
    4ByeWang Xin. (29)
    5Zheng Q. (23)Bye
    6Brady J. (WC)Stephens S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    8ByeKeys M. (15)
    9Svitolina E. (9)Bye
    10Jones E. (WC)Fruhvirtova L. (Q)2 : 1
    11Baptiste H.Maria T.2 : 0
    12ByeSamsonova L. (19)
    13Ostapenko J. (25)Bye
    14Yastremska D.Krueger A. (WC)2 : 1
    15Sun L. (Q)Townsend T. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByePaolini J. (7)
    17Rybakina E. (3)Bye
    18Tjen J.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    19Sierra S.Rakhimova K. (LL)0 : 2
    20ByeKostyuk M. (27)
    21Jovic I. (18)Bye
    22Badosa P.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    23Bejlek S.Gibson T. (Q)0 : 2
    24ByeOsaka N. (16)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Tagger L. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)2 : 1
    27Golubic V. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    28ByeCristian J. (34)
    29Fernandez L. (26)Bye
    30Arango E.Selekhmeteva O.1 : 2
    31Jones F.Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    32ByePegula J. (5)
    33Anisimova A. (6)Bye
    34Waltert S.Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    35Lys E.Starodubtseva Y. (Q)0 : 2
    36ByeBucsa C. (30)
    37Shnaider D. (20)Bye
    38Valentova T.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    39Sonmez Z.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Noskova L. (14)Bye
    42Zhang S.Cirstea S.0 : 2
    43Galfi D. (Alt)Kalieva E. (Q)1 : 2
    44ByeMertens E. (21)
    45Sakkari M. (33)Bye
    46Parks A.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 0
    47Semenistaja D. (LL)Cocciaretto E.0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (4)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Kessler M.Frech M.2 : 1
    51Vidmanova D. (WC)Jacquemot E.1 : 2
    52ByeBouzkova M. (32)
    53Kalinskaya A. (22)Bye
    54Zakharova A. (Q)Bondar A.2 : 1
    55Kenin S.Blinkova A.1 : 2
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Siniakova K.Osorio C.0 : 2
    59Boulter K.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    60ByeTauson C. (17)
    61Eala A. (31)Bye
    62Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 0
    63Linette M.Gracheva V.2 : 1
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Li A.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Wang Xin. (29)2 : 1
    3Zheng Q. (23)Stephens S.2 : 0
    4Ruse G.Keys M. (15)0 : 2
    5Svitolina E. (9)Jones E.2 : 0
    6Baptiste H.Samsonova L. (19)2 : 0
    7Ostapenko J. (25)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    8Townsend T.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (3)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    10Rakhimova K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (18)Badosa P.2 : 0
    12Gibson T.Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Tagger L.2 : 0
    14Stearns P.Cristian J. (34)0 : 2
    15Fernandez L. (26)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 1
    16Jones F. (RET.)Pegula J. (5)0 : 1
    17Anisimova A. (6)Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    18Starodubtseva Y.Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)1 : 0
    19Shnaider D. (20)Valentova T.2 : 0
    20Sonmez Z.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Noskova L. (14)Cirstea S.1 : 2
    22Kalieva E.Mertens E. (21)0 : 2
    23Sakkari M. (33)Parks A.0 : 2
    24Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Kessler M.2 : 1
    26Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M. (32)0 : 2
    27Kalinskaya A. (22)Zakharova A.1 : 2
    28Blinkova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Osorio C.2 : 1
    30Boulter K.Tauson C. (RET.) (17)1 : 1
    31Eala A. (31)Siegemund L.2 : 1
    32Linette M.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)McNally C.2 : 0
    2Zheng Q. (23)Keys M. (15)2 : 1
    3Svitolina E. (9)Baptiste H.0 : 2
    4Ostapenko J. (25)Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    5Rybakina E. (3)Kostyuk M. (27)2 : 0
    6Jovic I. (18)Gibson T.0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (11)Cristian J. (34)1 : 2
    8Fernandez L. (26)Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    9Anisimova A. (6)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0
    10Shnaider D. (20)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Cirstea S.Mertens E. (21)2 : 0
    12Parks A.Gauff C. (4)1 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Bouzkova M. (32)2 : 0
    14Zakharova A.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Boulter K.2 : 0
    16Eala A. (31)Linette M.2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Zheng Q. (23)
    2Baptiste H.Ostapenko J. (25)
    3Rybakina E. (3)Gibson T.
    4Cristian J. (34)Pegula J. (5)
    5Anisimova A. (6)Bencic B. (12)
    6Cirstea S.Gauff C. (4)
    7Andreeva M. (8)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Muchova K. (13)Eala A. (31)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Mboko V. (10)Muchova K. (13)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2