Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/04/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rouen, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
59%50%
1st serve points won
71% (37/52)70% (38/54)
2nd serve points won
61% (22/36)45% (24/53)
Break Points Saved
3/64/8
1st return points won
30% (16/54)29% (15/52)
2nd return points won
55% (29/53)39% (14/36)
Break Points Converted
4/83/6
Service Points Won
67% (58/87)58% (62/107)
Return Points Won
42% (45/107)33% (29/87)
Total Points Won
53% (103/194)47% (91/194)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
79% (11/14)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)21% (3/14)
Total games won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Hailey Baptiste
82.4%
Jessika Ponchet
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hailey Baptiste's performance.
  • Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessika Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hailey Baptiste - Jessika Ponchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.15
    (1.36)

    5.51
    (3.13)
    5%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Hailey Baptiste - Jessika Ponchet?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Ponchet will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Baptiste is ranked WTA: 35. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 170.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Baptiste may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Baptiste is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Hailey Baptiste
    Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)Parry D.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Volynets K.2 : 1
    3Rakhimova K.Kalieva E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Kasatkina D.Li A. (5)1 : 2
    5Baptiste H. (4)Ponchet J. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shymanovich I. (Q)Fruhvirtova L.2 : 0
    7Blinkova A.Salkova D. (LL)0 : 2
    8Maria T.Jacquemot E. (9)
    9Cocciaretto E. (7)Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Stephens S. (WC)Podrez V. (Q)0 : 2
    11Timofeeva M. (LL)Boulter K.0 : 2
    12Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)Cristian J. (3)1 : 2
    13Tjen J. (6)Bondar A.
    14Oliynykova O.Tagger L.
    15Paquet C. (Q)Wang Xin. (Q)1 : 2
    16Ferro F. (WC)Cirstea S. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kostyuk M. (1)McNally C.
    2Rakhimova K.Li A. (5)
    3Baptiste H. (4)Shymanovich I.
    4Salkova D.TBD #8
    5Cocciaretto E. (7)Podrez V.
    6Boulter K.Cristian J. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Wang Xin.TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2