Ludmilla Samsonova vs Hailey Baptiste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Abu Dhabi, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
59%49%
1st serve points won
49% (25/51)67% (29/43)
2nd serve points won
47% (17/36)62% (28/45)
Break Points Saved
30% (3/10)50% (5/10)
1st return points won
44% (19/43)53% (27/51)
2nd return points won
38% (17/45)53% (19/36)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
49% (41/83)59% (52/88)
Return Points Won
41% (36/88)51% (42/83)
Total Points Won
45% (77/171)55% (94/171)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
50% (7/14)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)50% (7/14)
Total games won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Ludmilla Samsonova
69.1%
Hailey Baptiste
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Ludmilla Samsonova - Hailey Baptiste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.44)

    3.11
    (2.75)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Ludmilla Samsonova - Hailey Baptiste?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Baptiste will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Samsonova (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samsonova is ranked WTA: 18. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 56.
    • In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Baptiste is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Samsonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Samsonova is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludmilla Samsonova - Hailey Baptiste were as follows:
    08.05.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:1
    Latest results of Ludmilla Samsonova
    Latest results of Hailey Baptiste
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zarazua R. (LL)Bye
    2Kartal S. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    3Krueger A.Bejlek S. (Q)0 : 2
    4Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    5Tauson C. (3)Bye
    6Kasatkina D.Waltert S. (Q)1 : 2
    7Kessler M.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    8Paquet C. (LL)Fernandez L. (6)0 : 2
    9Samsonova L. (5)Kenin S.2 : 0
    10Tjen J.Joint M.2 : 1
    11Baptiste H.Kostovic T.2 : 1
    12ByeNavarro E. (4)
    13Badosa P. (8)Sasnovich A. (LL)1 : 2
    14Eala A.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    16ByeAlexandrova E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Zarazua R.Kartal S.0 : 2
    2Bejlek S.Ostapenko J.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (3)Waltert S.2 : 0
    4Kessler M.Fernandez L. (6)2 : 0
    5Samsonova L. (5)Tjen J.2 : 0
    6Baptiste H.Navarro E. (4)2 : 1
    7Sasnovich A.Eala A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kartal S.Bejlek S.0 : 2
    2Tauson C. (3)Kessler M.2 : 0
    3Samsonova L. (5)Baptiste H.1 : 2
    4Eala A.Alexandrova E. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bejlek S.Tauson C. (3)2 : 1
    2Baptiste H.Alexandrova E. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bejlek S.Alexandrova E. (2)2 : 0