Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (274/355) | 82% (345/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (274/355) | 82% (345/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (25/67) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (42/82) | 62% (67/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Qi Long ⚽, Sun Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luo B. ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,
- 46', Xu Lei ↓, Pan Yuchen ↑,
- 58', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
- 63', Sun Yunlong ↓, Tang Zhiheng ↑,
- 67', Hou Yingcheng ↓, Yang H. ↑,
- 74', Qi Long ↓, Wang S. ↑,
- 74', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
- 82', Song X. ↓, Zhang R. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Ablimit Subi (Pen),
- 87', Zhang J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Chen Yunhua ↓, Zhou Jingxiang ↑,
- 90+3', Tian Li ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
Chances of winning
Kunming City
26% | Draw
29.4% | Jiangxi Lushan
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiangxi Lushan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↓
(4.22) |
3.14 ↓
(3.38) |
2.07 ↑
(1.77) |
8.2%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Kunming City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jiangxi Lushan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kunming City won against Jiangxi Lushan?
Kunming City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jiangxi Lushan won against Kunming City?
Jiangxi Lushan has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan were as follows:
24.08.2025
Jiangxi Lushan
-
Kunming City
1:0
17.05.2024
Kunming City
-
Jiangxi Lushan
1:4
31.05.2023
Kunming City
-
Jiangxi Lushan
1:2
Latest results of Kunming City
Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 58:15 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 37:14 | 23 | 58 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 47 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
