Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player, NOW Sports 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.833.96
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
927
Shots on target
210
Big chances
18
Corner kicks
310
Passes
67% (185/278)79% (395/501)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.833.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.302.81
Total shots
927
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
411
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
420
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
18
Corner kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1651
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
07
Free kicks
76
Passes
67% (185/278)79% (395/501)
Long passes
41% (23/56)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
61% (30/49)68% (113/165)
Crosses
0% (0/12)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.292.41
Throw ins
2324
Fouls
67
Tackles
75% (9/12)80% (20/25)
Duels won
2854
Clearances
3620
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
71
xGOT faced
2.811.30
Goals prevented
-0.190.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Fudalla V. , Piljic K. (A),
  • 18', Schulz V. , Mirzaliyeva N. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Linberg C. , Wrede L. (A),
  • 44', Bender L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Buchele M. , Wucher A. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Piljic K. , Bender L. (A),
  • 63', Piljic K. 🟨,
  • 63', Gonzalez E. , Mickenhagen J. ,
  • 63', Wrede L. , Kruger M. ,
  • 63', Grant R. , Kogel K. ,
  • 64', Bartz P. , Mikolajova M. ,
  • 64', Wamser C. 🟨,
  • 70', Wucher A. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Mickenhagen J. , Piljic K. (A),
  • 79', Wrede J. M. , Eggert L. ,
  • 83', Bender L. , Haim V. ,
  • 83', Piljic K. , Vidal J. ,
  • 90+1', Fudalla V. , Madl V. ,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
16.2%
Draw
20.7%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 20.5% 63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4% 19.4% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.66
    (5.69)
    4.42
    (4.54)
    1.45
    (1.47)
    9.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1 - Bayer (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:1
    05.11.2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Hamburger SV 2:1
    25.11.2023 Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:4
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Latest results of Bayer 04 Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W21201081:67561
    2Wolfsburg W21153361:303148
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W22133654:371742
    4Hoffenheim W22122839:271238
    5Bayer Leverkusen W22121934:31337
    6Werder Bremen W20105531:29235
    7Freiburg W22931035:36-130
    8Koln W22841026:30-428
    9Union Berlin W2276937:42-527
    10RB Leipzig W22751035:41-626
    111.FC Nurnberg W22541328:53-2519
    12Hamburger SV W22361324:53-2915
    13SGS Essen W22261417:52-3512
    14Jena W22251518:53-3511

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
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          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women