Result
1:3
30/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | DAZN |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | Now Player, NOW Sports 5 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Usa | DAZN USA |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (185/278) | 79% (395/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 3.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (185/278) | 79% (395/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 68% (113/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Fudalla V. ⚽, Piljic K. (A),
- 18', Schulz V. ↓, Mirzaliyeva N. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 1, Linberg C. ⚽, Wrede L. (A),
- 44', Bender L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Buchele M. ↓, Wucher A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Piljic K. ⚽, Bender L. (A),
- 63', Piljic K. 🟨,
- 63', Gonzalez E. ↓, Mickenhagen J. ↑,
- 63', Wrede L. ↓, Kruger M. ↑,
- 63', Grant R. ↓, Kogel K. ↑,
- 64', Bartz P. ↓, Mikolajova M. ↑,
- 64', Wamser C. 🟨,
- 70', Wucher A. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 3, Mickenhagen J. ⚽, Piljic K. (A),
- 79', Wrede J. M. ↓, Eggert L. ↑,
- 83', Bender L. ↓, Haim V. ↑,
- 83', Piljic K. ↓, Vidal J. ↑,
- 90+1', Fudalla V. ↓, Madl V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV 16.2% | Draw 20.7% | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 63.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.66 ↓ (5.69) |
4.42 ↓ (4.54) |
1.45 ↓ (1.47) |
9.3% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Bayer (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer 04 Leverkusen won against Hamburger SV?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Bayer 04 Leverkusen were as follows:
16.11.2025
Hamburger SV
-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2:1
05.11.2025
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
-
Hamburger SV
2:1
25.11.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0:4
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Bayer 04 Leverkusen
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 81:6 | 75 | 61 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 61:30 | 31 | 48 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 54:37 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 31:29 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Koln W | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 28:53 | -25 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24:53 | -29 | 15 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17:52 | -35 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18:53 | -35 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women