Darmstadt vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt).

2. Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	New World TV
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	2.69
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
87% (413/475)	75% (211/280)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	2.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.07	3.56
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
14	0
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
11	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
26	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
21	9
Passes
87% (413/475)	75% (211/280)
Long passes
58% (32/55)	44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
72% (113/157)	58% (40/69)
Crosses
44% (8/18)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	1.32
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
9	21
Tackles
53% (10/19)	59% (13/22)
Duels won
49	43
Clearances
11	29
Interceptions
13	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
3.56	0.07
Goals prevented
-0.44	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Forster P. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Reis L. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
29', Bueno G. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
43', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Schonlau S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Balde F. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
60', Vukotic A. 🟨,
60', Selke D. 🟨,
68', Forster P. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
69', Muller A. 🟨,
74', Dompe J. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
74', Muheim M. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
75', Schonlau S. 🟨,
77', Meffert J. 🟨,
80', 0 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),
81', Lopez S. ↓, Klefisch K. ↑,
81', Corredor K. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
82', Muller A. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
82', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 4, Glatzel R. ⚽, Pherai I. (A),

Chances of winning

Darmstadt
31.2%

Draw
24.6%

Hamburger SV
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.5%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

25.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Darmstadt - Hamburger SV Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.82)	3.86 ↑ (3.86)	2.15 ↓ (2.24)	5.5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Hamburger SV?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 44.1% – 85.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Brunst A. (Groin Injury) Dreskovic M. (Groin Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.9:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Hamburger SV?

Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Darmstadt?

Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Hamburger SV were as follows:

08.12.2024 Hamburger SV - Darmstadt 2:2

25.02.2023 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 1:1

Latest results of Darmstadt

26.04.2025 Preußen Münster - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Darmstadt - Hannover 3:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Hamburger SV

27.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺

28.03.2025 Hamburger SV - Elversberg 0:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SG Dynamo Dresden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Holstein Kiel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Schalke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Hannover	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hertha Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Karlsruher SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Bochum	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nurnberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Greuther Furth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Kaiserslautern	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Paderborn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Darmstadt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga