Hamburger SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga Women - Round 7
Referee: Breier N. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.91	0.69
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
25	13
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
62% (188/303)	70% (278/396)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.00	0.37
Total shots
25	13
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
14	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
13	8
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
28	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	5
Free Kicks
16	13
Passes
62% (188/303)	70% (278/396)
Long passes
48% (28/58)	41% (30/73)
Passes in final third
55% (60/110)	55% (42/77)
Crosses
50% (8/16)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	0.29
Throw-ins
38	29
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
83% (15/18)	66% (19/29)
Duels won
50	56
Clearances
23	27
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
0.37	1.00
Goals prevented
-0.63	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Gentile N. 🟨,
17', Reske E. 🟨,
27', Gora L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Reuter M. ↓, Tietz R. ↑,
46', Reske E. ↓, Muhlemann E. ↑,
46', Hillebrand S. ↓, Wrede L. ↑,
60', Schwalm V. ↓, Meyer C. ↑,
60', Mikolajova M. ↓, Buchele M. ↑,
63', Gora L. ↓, Juckel N. ↑,
75', Bohler A. ↓, Lahr J. ↑,
75', Machtens P. ↓, Schulz V. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Schulz V. ⚽, Brunnthaler M. (A),
83', Gentile N. ↓, Haering S. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Tietz R. ⚽, Jaron I. (A),
90+1', Muhlemann E. 🟨,
90+2', Lahr J. 🟨,
90+5', Hirche E. 🟨,
90+5', Brunnthaler M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
46.2%

Draw
24.3%

Carl Zeiss Jena
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

23.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.

Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carl Zeiss Jena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carl Zeiss Jena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamburger SV - Carl Zeiss Jena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.42)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	3.16 ↑ (2.42)	7.5% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women).
Hamburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jena is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Jena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.
Hamburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Carl Zeiss Jena?

Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carl Zeiss Jena won against Hamburger SV?

Carl Zeiss Jena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Carl Zeiss Jena were as follows:

14.04.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena - Hamburger SV 3:1

15.10.2023 Hamburger SV - Carl Zeiss Jena 5:0

Latest results of Hamburger SV

11.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV 2:0 ✺

06.10.2025 Hamburger SV - TSG Hoffenheim 1:4 ✺

25.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 6:2 ✺

13.09.2025 SGS Essen - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Carl Zeiss Jena

13.10.2025 Carl Zeiss Jena - Nürnberg 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Carl Zeiss Jena 3:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Carl Zeiss Jena 0:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Carl Zeiss Jena 3:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	18	17	1	0	71:6	65	52
2	Wolfsburg W	17	12	2	3	53:26	27	38
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	18	10	3	5	44:31	13	33
4	Hoffenheim W	18	10	2	6	33:23	10	32
5	Bayer Leverkusen W	19	10	1	8	29:28	1	31
6	Werder Bremen W	17	8	5	4	24:22	2	29
7	Freiburg W	19	8	3	8	32:31	1	27
8	Koln W	19	7	4	8	23:24	-1	25
9	Union Berlin W	19	6	4	9	28:36	-8	22
10	RB Leipzig W	19	6	3	10	30:38	-8	21
11	1.FC Nurnberg W	19	5	4	10	26:47	-21	19
12	Hamburger SV W	19	3	5	11	21:45	-24	14
13	SGS Essen W	19	2	6	11	16:41	-25	12
14	Jena W	18	2	3	13	16:48	-32	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women