Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:2
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.541.48
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
45
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
108
Passes
76% (284/375)80% (328/412)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.541.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.43
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
124
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
1310
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
116
Passes
76% (284/375)80% (328/412)
Long passes
42% (24/57)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
53% (42/79)67% (80/120)
Crosses
33% (6/18)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.99
Throw ins
1924
Fouls
611
Tackles
74% (14/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5140
Clearances
3329
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.431.19
Goals prevented
0.430.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Elfadli D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Otele P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Traore O. H. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 46', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 46', Elfadli D. ↓, Torunarigha J. ↑,
  • 46', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
  • 63', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
  • 64', Niehues J. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
  • 68', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
  • 68', Otele P. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
  • 77', Gimber B. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
  • 78', 0 - 2, Philippe R. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
  • 80', Vieira F. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 88', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
32.8%		Draw
27.7%		Hamburger SV
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 27.4% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 27% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↑
    (2.77)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.47)    		 2.42 ↓
    (2.48)    		 4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.7% – 76.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Heidenheim (2.08) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Hamburg (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hamburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
    • Heidenheim is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hamburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Kolle A. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Stergiou L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Balde F. (Injury) Capaldo N. (Yellow Cards) Dompe J. (Suspended) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    11.02.2023 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 3:3
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    01.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 3:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    31.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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