Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/10/2025 at  13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Argentina | Disney+ | 
|  Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix | 
|  Brazil | Disney+ | 
|  Bulgaria | Nova Sport | 
|  Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada | 
|  Chile | Disney+ | 
|  Colombia | Disney+ | 
|  Croatia | Arena Sport 9 | 
|  Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 | 
|  Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay | 
|  Finland | Veikkaus TV | 
|  Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DFB Play, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW | 
|  Japan | DAZN Japan | 
|  Mexico | Disney+ | 
|  New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand | 
|  Peru | Disney+ | 
|  Poland | Eleven Sports 3 | 
|  Slovakia | Voyo | 
|  Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event | 
|  Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport | 
|  Uruguay | Disney+ | 
|  Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ | 
|  Venezuela | Disney+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.25 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 43% | 57% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 75% (241/322) | 86% (373/436) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.25 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.69 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 9 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 15 | 28 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 75% (241/322) | 86% (373/436) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 49% (20/41) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 51% (48/95) | 78% (125/161) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 13% (3/23) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.86 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 26 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 33% (2/6) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 36 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 25 | 22 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.02 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.02 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Schmidt F. 🟨, 
- 35', Niehues J. 🟨, 
- 44', Siersleben T. 🟥, 
- 45', Remberg N. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Traore O. H. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑, 
- 46', Kerber L. ↓, Busch M. ↑, 
- 46', Remberg N. ↓, Meffert J. ↑, 
- 61', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑, 
- 61', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑, 
- 72', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Honsak M. ↑, 
- 73', Schimmer S. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑, 
- 80', Dorsch N. 🟨, 
- 83', Ramaj D. 🟨, 
- 83', 0 - 1, Glatzel R. (Pen), 
- 86', Niehues J. ↓, Kolle A. ↑, 
- 89', Philippe R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑, 
- 90+6', Schmidt F. 🟨, 
- 90+7', Mainka P. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Heidenheim 36.1%
 | Draw 26.5%
 | Hamburger SV 37.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Heidenheim - Hamburger SV Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.6 ↑ (2.45)
 | 3.52 ↑ (3.5)
 | 2.51 ↓ (2.75)
 | 6.8% (5.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Hamburger SV?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            13 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
- Heidenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hamburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Hamburger SV?
                    
                    
                        
                            Heidenheim has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Heidenheim?
                    
                    
                        
                             Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Hamburger SV were as follows:
                                                        
                                20.09.2025 
                                Hamburger SV 
                                - 
                                Heidenheim 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.02.2023 
                                Heidenheim 
                                - 
                                Hamburger SV 
                                3:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Heidenheim                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hamburger SV