Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 4
- Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 2.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (336/394) | 83% (327/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 3.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (336/394) | 83% (327/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (64/89) | 66% (85/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.01 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Elfadli D. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Vuskovic L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Kerber L. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
- 57', Philippe R. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Philippe R. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
- 64', Vieira F. 🟨,
- 68', Schoppner J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 68', Gimber B. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
- 72', Remberg N. 🟨,
- 74', Philippe R. ↓, Lokonga A. S. ↑,
- 74', Dompe J. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 78', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Kolle A. ↑,
- 78', Kaufmann M. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
- 79', Vieira F. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
- 80', Kolle A. 🟨,
- 86', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
- 86', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Kolle A. ⚽, Traore O. H. (A),
- 90+3', Heuer Fernandes D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
52.7% | Draw
25.5% | Heidenheim
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Hamburger SV - Heidenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.02) |
3.74 ↑
(3.6) |
4.39 ↑
(3.63) |
3.7%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Heidenheim?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 36.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH 0, 1st Half - Hamburg (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 3.
- Hamburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Heidenheim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hamburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Hefti S.
(Hip Injury)
Poulsen Y.
(Inactive)
Ramos G.
(Personal Reasons)
Torunarigha J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F.
(Knee Injury)
Honsak M.
(Muscle Injury)
Keller T.
(Knee Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
Pieringer M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zivzivadze B.
(Red Card)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Heidenheim?
Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Hamburger SV?
Heidenheim has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Heidenheim were as follows:
11.02.2023
Heidenheim
-
Hamburger SV
3:3
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Heidenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
