Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal Heidenheim - Hamburger SV
Result
0:1
28/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DFB Play, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.132.25
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
75% (241/322)86% (373/436)
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.132.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.021.69
Total shots
617
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
75% (241/322)86% (373/436)
Long passes
55% (41/74)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
51% (48/95)78% (125/161)
Crosses
25% (5/20)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.86
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
108
Tackles
43% (10/23)33% (2/6)
Duels won
4936
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.690.02
Goals prevented
0.690.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Schmidt F. 🟨,
  • 35', Niehues J. 🟨,
  • 44', Siersleben T. 🟥,
  • 45', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Traore O. H. , Dorsch N. ,
  • 46', Kerber L. , Busch M. ,
  • 46', Remberg N. , Meffert J. ,
  • 61', Rossing-Lelesiit A. , Pherai I. ,
  • 61', Konigsdorffer R. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 72', Zivzivadze B. , Honsak M. ,
  • 73', Schimmer S. , Pieringer M. ,
  • 80', Dorsch N. 🟨,
  • 83', Ramaj D. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Glatzel R. (Pen),
  • 86', Niehues J. , Kolle A. ,
  • 89', Philippe R. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 90+6', Schmidt F. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mainka P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
36.1%
Draw
26.5%
Hamburger SV
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 26.6% 34.9%

Heidenheim - Hamburger SV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.6
(2.45)
3.52
(3.5)
2.51
(2.75)
6.8%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
    • Heidenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hamburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    11.02.2023 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 3:3
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    25.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 3:1
    18.10.2025 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 2:2
    05.10.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 1:0
    27.09.2025 Heidenheim - Augsburg 2:1
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1