Heidenheim vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:2
07/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.541.48
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
45
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
108
Passes
76% (284/375)80% (328/412)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.541.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.43
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
124
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
1310
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
116
Passes
76% (284/375)80% (328/412)
Long passes
42% (24/57)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
53% (42/79)67% (80/120)
Crosses
33% (6/18)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.99
Throw ins
1924
Fouls
611
Tackles
74% (14/19)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5140
Clearances
3329
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.431.19
Goals prevented
0.430.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Elfadli D. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Otele P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Traore O. H. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 46', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 46', Elfadli D. ↓, Torunarigha J. ↑,
  • 46', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
  • 63', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
  • 64', Niehues J. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
  • 68', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
  • 68', Otele P. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
  • 77', Gimber B. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
  • 78', 0 - 2, Philippe R. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
  • 80', Vieira F. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 88', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
32.8%		Draw
27.7%		Hamburger SV
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 27.4% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 27% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↑
    (2.77)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.47)    		 2.42 ↓
    (2.48)    		 4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.7% – 76.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Heidenheim (2.08) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Hamburg (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hamburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
    • Heidenheim is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hamburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Kolle A. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Stergiou L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Balde F. (Injury) Capaldo N. (Yellow Cards) Dompe J. (Suspended) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1
    11.02.2023 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 3:3
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    01.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 3:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    31.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 292441105:277876
    2Dortmund29197360:293164
    3Stuttgart29175760:382256
    4RB Leipzig29175756:362056
    5Bayer Leverkusen29157759:392052
    6Hoffenheim29156857:431451
    7Eintracht Frankfurt29119954:54042
    8Freiburg291171142:47-540
    9Mainz29891235:44-933
    10Augsburg29961436:53-1733
    11Union Berlin29881333:50-1732
    12Hamburger SV297101232:45-1331
    13FC Koln29791343:50-730
    14B. Monchengladbach29791335:49-1430
    15Werder Bremen29771532:52-2028
    16St. Pauli29671625:50-2525
    17Wolfsburg29561839:65-2621
    18Heidenheim29471832:64-3219

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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