Hamburger SV vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Football German 2 Bundesliga Hamburger SV - Karlsruher
Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2, Tivibu Spor 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.08
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (443/546)78% (312/402)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.621.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.03
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
81% (443/546)78% (312/402)
Long passes
37% (15/41)45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
65% (109/168)57% (52/91)
Crosses
41% (9/22)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.40
Throw-ins
2112
Fouls
1514
Tackles
75% (12/16)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.031.10
Goals prevented
-0.970.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Beifus M. 🟨,
  • 27', Elfadli D. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Selke D. (Pen),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Ben Farhat L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Burnic D. 🟨,
  • 59', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 64', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
  • 64', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
  • 67', Jensen L. 🟨,
  • 72', Meffert J. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
  • 72', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 82', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 82', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 85', Conte B. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
  • 89', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
  • 89', Jensen L. ↓, Bormuth R. ↑,
  • 90', Heusser R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rapp N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
64.4%		Draw
19.2%		Karlsruher
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 20% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 19.6% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Hamburger SV - Karlsruher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.47 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.9 ↑
    (4.71)    		 5.75 ↑
    (5)    		 6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 71.4% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Karlsruher could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Muheim M. (Calf Injury) Oliveira N. (Muscle Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Pfeiffer L. (Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karlsruher: Jung S. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:24 (average 2.1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Karlsruher were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Karlsruher - Hamburger SV 1:3
    28.01.2024 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 3:4
    06.08.2023 Karlsruher - Hamburger SV 2:2
    12.03.2023 Karlsruher - Hamburger SV 4:2
    03.09.2022 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺
    05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺
    28.03.2025 Hamburger SV - Elversberg 0:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Magdeburg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    20.04.2025 Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Preußen Münster - Karlsruher 1:1 ✺
    04.04.2025 Karlsruher - Hannover 1:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher 3:1 ✺
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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