Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 31
- Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (443/546) | 78% (312/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (443/546) | 78% (312/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (109/168) | 57% (52/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Beifus M. 🟨,
- 27', Elfadli D. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Selke D. (Pen),
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Ben Farhat L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Burnic D. 🟨,
- 59', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
- 64', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
- 64', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
- 67', Jensen L. 🟨,
- 72', Meffert J. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
- 72', Selke D. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
- 82', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 82', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 85', Conte B. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
- 89', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
- 89', Jensen L. ↓, Bormuth R. ↑,
- 90', Heusser R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rapp N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
64.4% | Draw
19.2% | Karlsruher
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+2%)
Hamburger SV - Karlsruher Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.54) |
4.9 ↑
(4.71) |
5.75 ↑
(5) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Karlsruher?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Karlsruher could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Hamburg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B.
(Knee Injury)
Katterbach N.
(Knee Injury)
Muheim M.
(Calf Injury)
Oliveira N.
(Muscle Injury)
Soumahoro A.
(Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Pfeiffer L.
(Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karlsruher: Jung S.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:24 (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Karlsruher?
Hamburger SV has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Hamburger SV?
Karlsruher has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Karlsruher were as follows:
01.12.2024
Karlsruher
-
Hamburger SV
1:3
28.01.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Karlsruher
3:4
06.08.2023
Karlsruher
-
Hamburger SV
2:2
12.03.2023
Karlsruher
-
Hamburger SV
4:2
03.09.2022
Hamburger SV
-
Karlsruher
1:0
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Karlsruher
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Bochum | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
