Result
1:4
08/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 12
- Referee: Kost A. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | W-sport |
Asia | W-Sport Asia |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | W-sport |
Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, Sport 1 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Luxembourg | W-Sport |
Malaysia | Canal+ |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Viaplay, W-Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN / App, W-Sport |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | W-Sport |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (274/406) | 68% (255/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (274/406) | 68% (255/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 31% (27/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (52/118) | 48% (52/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.77 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Jessen S. ⚽, Wiankowska M. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Jessen S. ⚽, Bremer P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Racke N. ↓, Hirche E. ↑,
- 46', Wucher A. ↓, Meyer C. ↑,
- 46', Eggert L. ↓, Bohler A. ↑,
- 46', Stolze A. ↓, Leimenstoll V. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Meyer C. ⚽, Bohler A. (A),
- 59', Zawistowska W. ↓, Achcinska A. ↑,
- 59', Agrez S. 🟨,
- 72', Wrede L. ↓, Buchele M. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Achcinska A. ⚽, Bremer P. (A),
- 78', Bremer P. ↓, Donhauser L. ↑,
- 80', Vogt L. 🟨,
- 83', Wiankowska M. 🟨,
- 86', Machtens P. ↓, Morich C. ↑,
- 89', Vogt L. ↓, Hasenauer Z. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 4, Jessen S. ⚽, Achcinska A. (A),
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV 26.2% | Draw 24.6% | Köln 49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hamburger SV - Köln Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↓ (4.5) |
3.71 ↓ (3.96) |
1.86 ↑ (1.67) |
9.5% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Köln?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 8).
- Hamburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Köln has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Köln is the team to beat.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Köln?
Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Hamburger SV?
Köln has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Köln were as follows:
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 71:6 | 65 | 52 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 53:26 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 32 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Koln W | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:48 | -32 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women