Hamburger SV vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
08/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 12
  • Referee: Kost A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaW-sport
asiaAsiaW-Sport Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumW-sport
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sky Go Germany, Sport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
luxembourgLuxembourgW-Sport
malaysiaMalaysiaCanal+
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay, W-Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, W-Sport
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyW-Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.91
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
67% (274/406)68% (255/374)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.132.23
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
1421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
55
Free Kicks
187
Passes
67% (274/406)68% (255/374)
Long passes
30% (20/67)31% (27/86)
Passes in final third
44% (52/118)48% (52/109)
Crosses
8% (2/24)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.44
Throw-ins
2837
Fouls
718
Tackles
82% (9/11)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4844
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.231.13
Goals prevented
-1.770.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Jessen S. , Wiankowska M. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Jessen S. , Bremer P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Racke N. , Hirche E. ,
  • 46', Wucher A. , Meyer C. ,
  • 46', Eggert L. , Bohler A. ,
  • 46', Stolze A. , Leimenstoll V. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Meyer C. , Bohler A. (A),
  • 59', Zawistowska W. , Achcinska A. ,
  • 59', Agrez S. 🟨,
  • 72', Wrede L. , Buchele M. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Achcinska A. , Bremer P. (A),
  • 78', Bremer P. , Donhauser L. ,
  • 80', Vogt L. 🟨,
  • 83', Wiankowska M. 🟨,
  • 86', Machtens P. , Morich C. ,
  • 89', Vogt L. , Hasenauer Z. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 4, Jessen S. , Achcinska A. (A),

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
26.2%
Draw
24.6%
Köln
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 23.5% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 22.5% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamburger SV's performance.
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamburger SV that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hamburger SV - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (4.5)
    3.71
    (3.96)
    1.86
    (1.67)
    9.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 8).
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Köln has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Köln is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Latest results of Köln
    23.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1
    16.11.2025 Sand - Köln 3:2
    09.11.2025 Köln - TSG Hoffenheim 1:0
    31.10.2025 Köln - Nürnberg 3:0
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W20191079:67358
    2Wolfsburg W20152358:273147
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W21123652:361639
    4Hoffenheim W21112837:261135
    5Bayer Leverkusen W21111931:30134
    6Werder Bremen W1995529:28132
    7Freiburg W2193934:34030
    8Koln W2184925:28-328
    9Union Berlin W2175934:39-526
    10RB Leipzig W21741034:40-625
    111.FC Nurnberg W21541228:51-2319
    12Hamburger SV W21361223:50-2715
    13SGS Essen W21261316:50-3412
    14Jena W21241517:52-3510

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women