Result
1:2
09/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 10
- Referee: Schwermer M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (227/351) | 52% (137/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (227/351) | 52% (137/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/79) | 27% (18/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/105) | 48% (54/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Racke N. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Brunnthaler M. ⚽,
- 32', Wucher A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Schulz V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Miller L. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
- 46', Guttenberger L. ↓, Baumgartel J. ↑,
- 46', Racke N. ↓, Hirche E. ↑,
- 46', Wrede L. ↓, Meyer C. ↑,
- 46', Wucher A. ↓, Bohler A. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Svensson K. ⚽, Wos O. (A),
- 66', Buchele M. ↓, Mikolajova M. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Lein N. ⚽, Gambone A. (A),
- 76', Homann S. ↓, Meroni L. ↑,
- 85', Eggert L. ↓, Kardesler V. ↑,
- 87', Polaskova A. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
56.6% | Draw
23.2% | Nürnberg
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Hamburger SV - Nürnberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.6) |
3.96 ↑
(3.95) |
4.55 ↑
(4.36) |
9%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Nürnberg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 11).
- Hamburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Nürnberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hamburg is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Nürnberg?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Hamburger SV?
Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Nürnberg were as follows:
03.05.2025
Nürnberg
-
Hamburger SV
0:2
17.11.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Nürnberg
1:1
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Nürnberg
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 81:6 | 75 | 61 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 61:30 | 31 | 48 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 54:37 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 31:29 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Koln W | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 35:41 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 28:53 | -25 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24:53 | -29 | 15 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17:52 | -35 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18:53 | -35 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
