East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Challenge Cup East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical
Result
2:4
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Round 3

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', Breen R. 🟥,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Shaw O. , McKinstry S. (A),
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, O'Hara K. , Robinson S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 2, Robertson J. (Pen),
  • 66', 1 - 3, O'Hara K. , McKinstry S. (A),
  • 82', 2 - 3, Robertson J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 4, McKinstry S. , O'Hara K. (A),

Chances of winning


East Kilbride
29.7%
Draw
29.1%
Hamilton Academical
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 25% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 24.3% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that East Kilbride's form might have worsened.
  • Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamilton Academical's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for East Kilbride, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.6
    (2.34)
    4.31
    (3.65)
    2.94
    (2.54)
    -21%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. East Kilbride (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • East Kilbride is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hamilton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • East Kilbride might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that East Kilbride will win today's game, with odds of 2.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, East Kilbride won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 1:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, East Kilbride won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical were as follows:
    14.10.2023 East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical 2:5
    26.11.2022 Hamilton Academical - East Kilbride 4:0
    Latest results of East Kilbride
    Latest results of Hamilton Academical
    Scottish Challenge Cup Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inverness ✔ 440016:31312
    2Stenhousemuir ✔ 440012:21012
    3Montrose ✔ 440011:4712
    4Edinburgh City440010:5512
    5Stranraer43019:549
    6Forfar Athletic43017:349
    7Peterhead42209:458
    8Spartans42208:358
    9Dumbarton42209:638
    10Hamilton42119:637
    11East Fife42119:637
    12Kelty Hearts42117:437
    13Elgin City42116:607
    14Alloa420211:926
    15Celtic B42029:816
    16Clyde42028:716
    17Queen of South42028:806
    18East Kilbride42028:9-16
    19Cove Rangers41213:305
    20Annan41127:9-24
    21St. Mirren B41128:11-34
    22Stirling41035:8-33
    23Dundee Utd B41034:7-33
    24Hearts B41036:11-53
    25Hibernian B40133:10-71
    26Motherwell B40131:10-91
    27Rangers B40046:12-60
    28Aberdeen B40045:13-80
    29Kilmarnock B40042:11-90
    30Dundee FC B40043:16-130

          Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inverness is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Stenhousemuir is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    Montrose is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)