Result
3:2
14/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 9
- Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (541/607) | 73% (207/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (541/607) | 73% (207/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (207/250) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 70% (23/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Milleskog N. ⚽, Carlsson T. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Eriksson V. ⚽, Madjed M. (A),
- 20', Lindberg W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 1, Besara N. ⚽,
- 56', Lindberg W. ↓, Ortmark J. ↑,
- 56', Tounekti S. ↓, Abraham P. ↑,
- 64', Milleskog N. ↓, Bjerkebo I. ↑,
- 64', Widgren D. ↓, Mamatsashvili S. ↑,
- 67', Mamatsashvili S. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Ure R. ⚽,
- 71', Ure R. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 2, Boudah A. ⚽, Ortmark J. (A),
- 78', Madjed M. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 78', Voelkerling J. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
- 78', Persson J. ↓, Milovanov B. ↑,
- 90+1', Boudah A. ↓, Kabore M. ↑,
- 90+1', Strand S. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
57.4% | Draw
22.8% | Sirius
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hammarby's form might have worsened.Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirius's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hammarby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hammarby - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.46) |
4.19 ↓
(4.6) |
4.91 ↓
(6.75) |
4.6%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hammarby - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Sirius will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 69.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hammarby will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Sirius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hammarby is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
Winther F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sirius: Nwadike P.
(Inactive)
Sjogrell H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hammarby: Johansson O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:21. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Sirius?
Hammarby has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Hammarby?
Sirius has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Sirius were as follows:
26.10.2024
Sirius
-
Hammarby
0:3
26.05.2024
Hammarby
-
Sirius
3:0
30.10.2023
Hammarby
-
Sirius
2:2
09.07.2023
Sirius
-
Hammarby
1:2
26.06.2023
Hammarby
-
Sirius
4:1
Latest results of Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:14 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 32 |
| 6 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:18 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Goteborg | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 9 | Hacken | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:31 | -6 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 14 | Sirius | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15:31 | -16 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
