Result
3:1
24/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 21
- Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6, Sportklub |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/325) | 86% (474/553) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/325) | 86% (474/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (36/84) | 38% (11/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/105) | 79% (156/198) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Persson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Persson J. ⚽, Heier M. (A),
- 58', Tounekti S. ↓, Abraham P. ↑,
- 58', Johansson O. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 58', Skoglund H. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 58', Karlsson M. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 0, Ure R. ⚽, Walta L. (A),
- 64', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 78', Madjed M. ↓, Okeke O. ↑,
- 86', Krusnell O. ↓, Widgren D. ↑,
- 90+3', Walta L. ↓, Vikman A. ↑,
- 90+3', Persson J. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Besara N. ⚽, Tekie T. (A),
Chances of winning
Sirius
24.4% | Draw
24.6% | Hammarby
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Sirius - Hammarby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↓
(4.38) |
3.81 ↓
(3.91) |
1.84 ↑
(1.78) |
6.7%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sirius - Hammarby?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hammarby will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 0.
- Sirius is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hammarby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hammarby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sirius has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Hammarby is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Carlsson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hammarby: Lindberg W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Hammarby?
Sirius has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Sirius?
Hammarby has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Hammarby were as follows:
14.05.2025
Hammarby
-
Sirius
3:2
26.10.2024
Sirius
-
Hammarby
0:3
26.05.2024
Hammarby
-
Sirius
3:0
30.10.2023
Hammarby
-
Sirius
2:2
09.07.2023
Sirius
-
Hammarby
1:2
Latest results of Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 49:17 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | GAIS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 48 |
| 4 | Djurgarden | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | AIK | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Halmstad | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 22:47 | -25 | 31 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Oster | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 35:61 | -26 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
