Värnamo vs Hammarby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Värnamo - Hammarby
27/07/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 17
  • Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play

Chances of winning


Värnamo
20.9%
Draw
24.7%
Hammarby
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 22.7% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7% 21.9% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Värnamo - Hammarby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.49
    (4.33)
    3.82
    (4.1)
    1.73
    (1.67)
    6.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2.
    • Recent performances by Värnamo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hammarby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Värnamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hammarby has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hammarby is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Hammarby were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    17.08.2024 Värnamo - Hammarby 0:3
    05.05.2024 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:2
    04.11.2023 Värnamo - Hammarby 0:0
    29.05.2023 Hammarby - Värnamo 0:2
    Latest results of Värnamo
    21.07.2025 Norrköping - Värnamo 3:1
    13.07.2025 Värnamo - Djurgården 1:0
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    29.06.2025 Värnamo - Elfsborg 0:0
    15.06.2025 Molde - Värnamo 2:3
    Latest results of Hammarby
    24.07.2025 Hammarby - Charleroi 0:0
    20.07.2025 Hammarby - Brommapojkarna 3:2
    13.07.2025 GAIS - Hammarby 3:2
    05.07.2025 Hammarby - Värnamo 1:0
    19.06.2025 Hammarby - Haninge 8:3
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby17124133:132040
    2Hammarby17113331:141736
    3Malmo FF1896328:141433
    4AIK1795324:16832
    5GAIS1787227:131431
    6Elfsborg1692527:19829
    7Goteborg1681721:22-125
    8Hacken1664624:25-122
    9Djurgarden1664615:17-222
    10Brommapojkarna17611023:25-219
    11Norrkoping1754825:29-419
    12Halmstad17521014:34-2017
    13Degerfors17421118:36-1814
    14Sirius1634921:28-713
    15Oster16331012:23-1112
    16Varnamo16141113:28-157

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan