Result
27/07/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 17
- Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Chances of winning
Värnamo
20.9% | Draw
24.7% | Hammarby
54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Värnamo - Hammarby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.49 ↑
(4.33) |
3.82 ↓
(4.1) |
1.73 ↑
(1.67) |
6.2%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2.
- Recent performances by Värnamo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hammarby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Värnamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hammarby has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hammarby is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Hammarby?
Värnamo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Värnamo?
Hammarby has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Hammarby were as follows:
05.07.2025
Hammarby
-
Värnamo
1:0
17.08.2024
Värnamo
-
Hammarby
0:3
05.05.2024
Hammarby
-
Värnamo
1:2
04.11.2023
Värnamo
-
Hammarby
0:0
29.05.2023
Hammarby
-
Värnamo
0:2
Latest results of Värnamo
Latest results of Hammarby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | GAIS | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14:34 | -20 | 17 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 14 |
| 14 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
