Result
2:2
28/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Thioune S. ⚽, Koffi N. (A),
- 14', Emerson 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Panic S. (Pen),
- 18', Bonello H. 🟨,
- 18', Mares P. 🟨,
- 19', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
- 29', Modica G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Wouter T. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
- 56', Panic S. 🟨,
- 63', Diomande I. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
- 65', Simkus D. ↓, Coric A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Polito V. ⚽, Coric A. (A),
- 73', Ederson ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 75', Talla M. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
- 82', Thioune S. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
- 86', Coric A. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Lemajic D. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
Chances of winning
RFS 55% | Draw 25.2% | Hamrun Spartans 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
RFS - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.54) |
3.8 (3.8) |
4.75 ↓ (5.5) |
4.3% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RFS - Hamrun Spartans?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 46 - 85.2%). Hamrun will win (votes: 5 - 9.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 75.7% – 94.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RFS will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Recent performances by RFS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hamrun is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, RFS is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, RFS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Hamrun Spartans?
RFS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against RFS?
Hamrun Spartans has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFS - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
21.08.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
RFS
1:0
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)