Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligat ha'Al - Round 5
- Referee: Bondarev V. (Isr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Israel | Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (302/364) | 78% (274/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 19 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 41 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (302/364) | 78% (274/350) |
| Long passes |
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| 50% (19/38) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 76% (91/120) | 66% (47/71) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (4/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (10/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.76 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.76 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Bruno Ramires 🟨,
- 40', Piven S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sana 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Ndo R. ↓, Forat Ayias A. ↑,
- 57', Silva X. ↓, Buskila M. ↑,
- 58', 🟨,
- 66', Zikri R. ↓, Ferber Y. ↑,
- 66', Piven S. ↓, Lemkin A. ↑,
- 66', Alkokin R. ↓, Loizou L. ↑,
- 77', Arbel T. (Pen),
- 78', Sabag N. ↓, Gonen Y. ↑,
- 79', Biton O. ↓, Sardal L. ↑,
- 79', Dappa D. ↓, Altman O. ↑,
- 79', Turiel S. ↓, Korine R. ↑,
- 79', East J. ↓, Hatuel R. ↑,
- 83', Nawi R. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 0, Korine R. ⚽, Kraev A. (A),
- 85', Korine R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hapoel Tel Aviv
54.2% | Draw
26.1% | Hapoel Haifa
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Tel Aviv's performance.Hapoel Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Haifa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Haifa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Haifa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.96) |
3.59 ↑
(3.49) |
4.83 ↑
(3.48) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hapoel Tel Aviv will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hapoel Haifa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Loizou L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hapoel Haifa: Belay N.
(Inactive)
Buganim I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Korine R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hapoel Haifa: Biton O.
(Inactive)
Nawi R.
(Injury)
- We predict that Hapoel Tel Aviv will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Tel Aviv won against Hapoel Haifa?
Hapoel Tel Aviv has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Haifa won against Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Haifa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa were as follows:
16.01.2025
Hapoel Haifa
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
31.01.2024
Hapoel Haifa
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4:3
02.12.2023
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Haifa
0:1
15.04.2023
Hapoel Haifa
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
17.12.2022
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Haifa
3:3
Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
Latest results of Hapoel Haifa
Israeli Ligat haAl Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 14 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | SC Ashdod | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Ironi Tiberias | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | -9 | 9 |
| 8 | Hapoel Haifa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Sakhnin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Netanya | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Kiryat Shmona | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
| 14 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )
