Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Alef North - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Adawi A. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Milad S. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Tshuva A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
44%
Draw
26.3%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.2% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 26% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.93)
    3.44
    (3.35)
    3.06
    (3.55)
    10.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 2.
    • Baqa al-Gharbiyye is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Baqa al-Gharbiyye is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye 0:0
    03.01.2025 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye 2:2
    15.03.2024 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye 0:2
    22.12.2023 Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0:0
    03.03.2023 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye 0:2
    Israeli Liga Alef North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1M. Nazareth21153344:172748
    2MS Tira22133642:231942
    3M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:211438
    4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:29536
    5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:23733
    6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:28033
    7Beit Shean2288628:27132
    8H. Migdal HaEmek2287729:23631
    9Ironi Baka2294933:30331
    10Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:25430
    11Ironi Nesher2285928:37-929
    12Tzeirey Tamra22731232:47-1524
    13Araba22561130:39-921
    14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:36-2017
    15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:42-2612
    16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:37-711

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