Result
1:3
03/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (91/164) | 85% (405/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (91/164) | 85% (405/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (22/74) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 33% (19/58) | 73% (99/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Madmon E. ⚽,
- 10', 0 - 2, Shahar I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', 1 - 2, Ransom I. ⚽, Eshata A. (A),
- 36', Sissokho I. 🟨,
- 41', Eshata A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shlomo R. ↓, Heitor ↑,
- 46', Sissokho I. ↓, Noy I. ↑,
- 61', Andrade K. ↓, Abu Farhi S. ↑,
- 62', Shalom H. ↓, Hozez M. ↑,
- 63', Almagor O. ↓, Badash G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 3, Asante T. ⚽, Madmon E. (A),
- 73', Madmon E. 🟨,
- 77', Hozez M. 🟥,
- 78', Varela H. ↓, Jehezkel S. ↑,
- 81', Ransom I. ↓, Madmon I. ↑,
- 81', Idoko A. ↓, Vrasana N. ↑,
- 83', Revivo R. 🟨,
- 88', Shahar I. ↓, Ben Harush N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hapoel Jerusalem
15% | Draw
20.6% | Maccabi Tel Aviv
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Maccabi Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)The ML Model estimate for Hapoel Jerusalem aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.15 ↑
(6.09) |
4.61 ↓
(5.13) |
1.44 ↑
(1.41) |
7.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maccabi Tel Aviv (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Hapoel Jerusalem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Maccabi Tel Aviv is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Hapoel Jerusalem: Baye O.
(Inactive)
Farada A.
(Inactive)
Hozez M.
(Inactive)
Jardel
(Inactive)
Madmon I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Maccabi Tel Aviv: Gropper D.
(Inactive)
Malede Y.
(Inactive)
Nicolaescu I.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Jerusalem won against Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Jerusalem has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maccabi Tel Aviv won against Hapoel Jerusalem?
Maccabi Tel Aviv has won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv were as follows:
20.09.2025
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Jerusalem
2:1
17.08.2025
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Jerusalem
2:1
28.12.2024
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Jerusalem
3:0
16.12.2024
Hapoel Jerusalem
-
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2:3
18.09.2024
Maccabi Tel Aviv
-
Hapoel Jerusalem
2:1
Latest results of Hapoel Jerusalem
Latest results of Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 54:23 | 31 | 55 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 56:27 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 50:28 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 39 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | Netanya | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 42:53 | -11 | 31 |
| 8 | Sakhnin | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Ironi Tiberias ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 26 |
| 10 | Kiryat Shmona ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Haifa ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:40 | -10 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Ashdod ✔ | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30:47 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina ✔ | 24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17:57 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
H. Beer Sheva is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Beitar Jerusalem is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Ironi Tiberias is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Kiryat Shmona is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Haifa is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
SC Ashdod is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Jerusalem is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Maccabi Bnei Raina is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
