Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Karmiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Alef North - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Badir M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 77', 1 - 0, Khoury M. ,

Chances of winning


Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
29.4%
Draw
27.8%
Hapoel Karmiel
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 25.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 24.3% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Hapoel Karmiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (3.15)
    3.26
    (3.62)
    2.11
    (2)
    10.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).
    • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hapoel Karmiel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hapoel Karmiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1:0
    Latest results of Hapoel Karmiel
    Israeli Liga Alef North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1M. Nazareth21153344:172748
    2MS Tira22133642:231942
    3M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:211438
    4Hapoel Karmiel2196629:21833
    5Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad2196632:28433
    6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:28033
    7Beit Shean2288628:27132
    8Tzeirey Um El Fahem2186728:23530
    9Ironi Baka2193933:30330
    10H. Migdal HaEmek2177727:23428
    11Ironi Nesher2184928:37-928
    12Tzeirey Tamra21731132:45-1324
    13Araba21461128:38-1018
    14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:36-2017
    15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:42-2612
    16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:37-711

          Promotion ~ Leumit League
          Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Relegation