Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligat ha'Al - Round 16
  • Referee: Frid I. (Isr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.65
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
79% (314/400)73% (254/348)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.800.80
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1421
Passes
79% (314/400)73% (254/348)
Long passes
39% (28/72)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
70% (85/121)60% (58/96)
Crosses
24% (4/17)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.73
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
2114
Tackles
84% (16/19)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5451
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.802.80
Goals prevented
0.801.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Piven S. , Archel T. ,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Shua Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Elimelech R. , Morozov G. ,
  • 60', Shua Y. , Muzie T. ,
  • 67', Altman O. , Korine R. ,
  • 67', Alkoukin R. , Lemkin A. ,
  • 78', Dappa D. , Mahamid A. ,
  • 78', Kraev A. , Cohen A. ,
  • 79', Gadrani L. , Cohen G. ,
  • 79', Micha D. , Ben Shimol Z. ,
  • 83', Atzili O. 🟨,
  • 85', Lemkin A. 🟨,
  • 86', Falcao 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mahamid A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Beitar Jerusalem
49.2%
Draw
24.7%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 24.3% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 23.1% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beitar Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.89)
    3.75
    (3.84)
    3.51
    (3.56)
    8.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beitar Jerusalem: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 3.
    • Beitar Jerusalem has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hapoel Tel Aviv is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Beitar Jerusalem is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beitar Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem 1:2
    15.09.2025 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem 3:2
    27.04.2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem 1:5
    22.01.2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem 0:1
    02.10.2023 Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv 0:3
    Latest results of Beitar Jerusalem
    Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Israeli Ligat haAl Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1H. Beer Sheva ✔ 24174354:233155
    2Beitar Jerusalem ✔ 24156356:272951
    3Maccabi Tel Aviv ✔ 24137450:282246
    4Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔ 24145544:261845
    5Maccabi Haifa24109546:252139
    6Hapoel Petah Tikva2498740:35535
    7Netanya24941142:53-1131
    8Sakhnin2478925:33-829
    9Ironi Tiberias ✔ 24751230:49-1926
    10Kiryat Shmona ✔ 24661234:42-824
    11Hapoel Haifa ✔ 24661230:40-1024
    12SC Ashdod ✔ 24581130:47-1723
    13Hapoel Jerusalem ✔ 24481222:35-1320
    14Maccabi Bnei Raina ✔ 24321917:57-4011

          Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
          Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    H. Beer Sheva is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Beitar Jerusalem is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Ironi Tiberias is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Kiryat Shmona is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Hapoel Haifa is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    SC Ashdod is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Hapoel Jerusalem is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Maccabi Bnei Raina is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )