Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Bnei Raina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
20/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligat ha'Al - Round 15
  • Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsraelSport 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.200.44
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
82% (340/413)80% (330/410)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
3.200.44
xG on target (xGOT)
3.410.71
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
82% (340/413)80% (330/410)
Long passes
49% (23/47)29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
65% (68/104)67% (57/85)
Crosses
23% (5/22)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.30
Throw-ins
724
Fouls
1515
Tackles
76% (16/21)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5743
Clearances
1726
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.713.41
Goals prevented
-0.290.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Loizou L. , Altman O. (A),
  • 5', 1 - 1, Owusu ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Altman O. , Chico (A),
  • 26', Dappa D. 🟨,
  • 39', Loizou L. 🟨,
  • 40', Banda E. 🟨,
  • 40', Falcao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Banda E. , Fadida S. ,
  • 61', Buskila M. , Korine R. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Altman O. ,
  • 76', Altman O. , Lemkin A. ,
  • 76', Kraev A. , Kancepolsky E. Y. ,
  • 77', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
  • 78', Khalaili I. , Kanani A. ,
  • 79', Ze Turbo , Shedo N. ,
  • 81', Fadida S. 🟨,
  • 85', Piven S. , Archel T. ,
  • 85', Loizou L. , Mahamid A. ,

Chances of winning


Hapoel Tel Aviv
65.9%
Draw
20.4%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 21.8% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21.2% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Maccabi Bnei Raina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Bnei Raina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.5)
    4.57
    (4.27)
    6.81
    (5.82)
    7.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Tel Aviv: 68.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Hapoel Tel Aviv (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1.
    • Recent performances by Hapoel Tel Aviv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Maccabi Bnei Raina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Alkoukin R. (Red Card) Binyamin R. (Inactive) Leidner D. (Inactive) Nassar Y. (Yellow Cards) Silva X. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Maccabi Bnei Raina: Ghnayem E. (Yellow Cards) Pejic A. (Red Card) Sefer A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Falcao (Injury) Lemkin A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv 2:2
    17.02.2024 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina 0:0
    16.12.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv 1:2
    22.04.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Bnei Raina 1:2
    05.02.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Tel Aviv 1:1
    Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
    Latest results of Maccabi Bnei Raina
    Israeli Ligat haAl Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1H. Beer Sheva ✔ 24174354:233155
    2Beitar Jerusalem ✔ 24156356:272951
    3Maccabi Tel Aviv ✔ 24137450:282246
    4Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔ 24145544:261845
    5Maccabi Haifa24109546:252139
    6Hapoel Petah Tikva2498740:35535
    7Netanya24941142:53-1131
    8Sakhnin2478925:33-829
    9Ironi Tiberias ✔ 24751230:49-1926
    10Kiryat Shmona ✔ 24661234:42-824
    11Hapoel Haifa ✔ 24661230:40-1024
    12SC Ashdod ✔ 24581130:47-1723
    13Hapoel Jerusalem ✔ 24481222:35-1320
    14Maccabi Bnei Raina ✔ 24321917:57-4011

          Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
          Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    H. Beer Sheva is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Beitar Jerusalem is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
    Ironi Tiberias is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Kiryat Shmona is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Hapoel Haifa is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    SC Ashdod is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Hapoel Jerusalem is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
    Maccabi Bnei Raina is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )