Result
2:6
20/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligat ha'Al - Round 4
- Referee: Levi S. (Isr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Israel | Sport 3 |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (253/344) | 85% (362/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.50 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
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| 74% (253/344) | 85% (362/426) |
| Long passes |
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| 42% (26/62) | 52% (16/31) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 60% (44/73) | 63% (53/84) |
| Crosses |
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| 43% (6/14) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.38 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
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| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
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| 73% (16/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 53 | 67 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 3.23 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.77 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 5)
- 1', 1 - 0, Kimvuidi K. ⚽, Ansah E. (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Dapaah D. ⚽, Turiel S. (A),
- 13', 1 - 2, Alkokin R. ⚽, Turiel S. (A),
- 29', 1 - 3, Kimvuidi K. (Own goal),
- 35', 1 - 4, Alkokin R. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 5, Turiel S. ⚽, Alkokin R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Farada L. ↓, Harush S. ↑,
- 46', Muche N. ↓, Levi A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 5, Batoum J. ⚽, Ansah E. (A),
- 60', Turiel S. ↓, Buskila M. ↑,
- 62', Gordana R. 🟨,
- 65', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 68', Mayembo F. 🟨,
- 70', Awany T. 🟨,
- 72', Dapaah D. ↓, Altman O. ↑,
- 72', Alkokin R. ↓, Lemkin A. ↑,
- 72', Kraev A. ↓, Kancepolsky E. Y. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 6, Chico ⚽, Buskila M. (A),
- 79', Silva X. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
- 80', Kimvuidi K. ↓, Dabush N. ↑,
- 80', Batoum J. ↓, Nachmani S. ↑,
- 82', Gordana R. ↓, Dasa O. ↑,
- 83', Ansah E. 🟨,
- 90', Chico 🟨,
Chances of winning
MS Ashdod
11.1% | Draw
17.2% | Hapoel Tel Aviv
71.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MS Ashdod's form might have worsened.Hapoel Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+19.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MS Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-28.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MS Ashdod - Hapoel Tel Aviv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.98 ↑
(2.86) |
6.89 ↑
(3.46) |
1.48 ↓
(2.24) |
-8.8%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MS Ashdod - Hapoel Tel Aviv?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hapoel Tel Aviv will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 3.
- Recent performances by Ashdod have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Ashdod: Hakmon S.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ashdod won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ashdod won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has MS Ashdod won against Hapoel Tel Aviv?
MS Ashdod has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Tel Aviv won against MS Ashdod?
Hapoel Tel Aviv has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MS Ashdod - Hapoel Tel Aviv were as follows:
09.08.2025
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
2:0
11.05.2024
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
0:2
03.02.2024
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
3:1
05.12.2023
MS Ashdod
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:1
08.08.2023
MS Ashdod
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Latest results of MS Ashdod
Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israeli Ligat haAl Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | SC Ashdod | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 9 |
| 6 | Ironi Tiberias | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | -9 | 9 |
| 7 | Maccabi Haifa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Haifa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Netanya | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Kiryat Shmona | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sakhnin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
| 14 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )
