Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligat ha'Al - Round 17
- Referee: Naal O. (Isr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Israel | Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 82% (296/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 82% (296/359) |
| Long passes |
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| 44% (15/34) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 70% (70/100) | 67% (75/112) |
| Crosses |
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| 38% (8/21) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.82 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 50% (6/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 38 | 56 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.55 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.55 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Meir R. 🟨,
- 33', Archel T. 🟨,
- 44', Altman O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Korine R. 🟨,
- 58', Falcao ↓, Dappa D. ↑,
- 58', Archel T. ↓, Lemkin A. ↑,
- 64', Altman O. 🟨,
- 71', Korine R. ↓, Rotman L. ↑,
- 74', Meir R. 🟨,
- 77', Gordana R. ↓, Muche N. ↑,
- 77', Batoum J. ↓, Yashilirmak M. ↑,
- 82', Tamam I. ↓, Azo O. N. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Loizou L. ⚽,
- 88', Loizou L. ↓, Kancepolsky E. Y. ↑,
- 88', Alkoukin R. ↓, Cohen A. ↑,
- 88', Yamin A. ↓, Dabush N. ↑,
- 89', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Chico 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hapoel Tel Aviv
63.3% | Draw
21.3% | MS Ashdod
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)MS Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Tel Aviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Hapoel Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.4) |
4.36 ↓
(4.95) |
5.94 ↓
(6.39) |
8.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Ashdod will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Tel Aviv: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hapoel Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ashdod (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 4.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ashdod has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hapoel Tel Aviv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hapoel Tel Aviv is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hapoel Tel Aviv: Buskila M.
(Inactive)
Leidner D.
(Inactive)
Mahamid A.
(Red Card)
Silva X.
(Inactive)
Turiel S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ashdod: Azo O. N.
(Inactive)
Ben Zaken T.
(Knee Injury)
Bitton N.
(Inactive)
Levi A.
(Injury)
Muche N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ashdod: Awany T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Tel Aviv won against MS Ashdod?
Hapoel Tel Aviv has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MS Ashdod won against Hapoel Tel Aviv?
MS Ashdod has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hapoel Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod were as follows:
25.12.2025
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
3:0
20.09.2025
MS Ashdod
-
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:6
09.08.2025
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
2:0
11.05.2024
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
0:2
03.02.2024
Hapoel Tel Aviv
-
MS Ashdod
3:1
Latest results of Hapoel Tel Aviv
Latest results of MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | H. Beer Sheva ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 54:23 | 31 | 55 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 56:27 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 50:28 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 39 |
| 6 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 35 |
| 7 | Netanya | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 42:53 | -11 | 31 |
| 8 | Sakhnin | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Ironi Tiberias ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 26 |
| 10 | Kiryat Shmona ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Haifa ✔ | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:40 | -10 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Ashdod ✔ | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30:47 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Hapoel Jerusalem ✔ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 20 |
| 14 | Maccabi Bnei Raina ✔ | 24 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17:57 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
H. Beer Sheva is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Beitar Jerusalem is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Maccabi Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Hapoel Tel Aviv is Qualified for Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group )
Ironi Tiberias is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Kiryat Shmona is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Haifa is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
SC Ashdod is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Hapoel Jerusalem is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
Maccabi Bnei Raina is Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group )
