Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/01/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Alef North - Round 16

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Khakrush M. 🟥,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Golan M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Gabarin M. ,

Chances of winning


Tzeirey Um El Fahem
63.6%
Draw
21.4%
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 23% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 16.1% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tzeirey Um El Fahem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tzeirey Um El Fahem than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tzeirey Um El Fahem that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.45)
    4.24
    (3.95)
    6.05
    (6.4)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • Tzeirey Um El Fahem has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • H Tirat HaCarmel has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tzeirey Um El Fahem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Tzeirey Um El Fahem is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tzeirey Um El Fahem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem 3:0
    Israeli Liga Alef North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1M. Nazareth21153344:172748
    2MS Tira22133642:231942
    3M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:211438
    4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:29536
    5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:23733
    6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:28033
    7Beit Shean2288628:27132
    8H. Migdal HaEmek2287729:23631
    9Ironi Baka2294933:30331
    10Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:25430
    11Ironi Nesher2285928:37-929
    12Tzeirey Tamra22731232:47-1524
    13Araba22561130:39-921
    14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:36-2017
    15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:42-2612
    16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:37-711

          Promotion ~ Leumit League
          Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Relegation