Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Alef North - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Badir M. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Khoury M. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Gabarin N. A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', 2 - 2, Piastre L. ,

Chances of winning


Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30%
Draw
29%
Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 25.6% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 24.4% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.64)
    3.12
    (3.58)
    2.2
    (2.3)
    10.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Baqa al-Gharbiyye has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Baqa al-Gharbiyye may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Israeli Liga Alef North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1M. Nazareth21153344:172748
    2MS Tira22133642:231942
    3M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:211438
    4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:29536
    5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:23733
    6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:28033
    7Beit Shean2288628:27132
    8H. Migdal HaEmek2287729:23631
    9Ironi Baka2294933:30331
    10Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:25430
    11Ironi Nesher2285928:37-929
    12Tzeirey Tamra22731232:47-1524
    13Araba22561130:39-921
    14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:36-2017
    15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:42-2612
    16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:37-711

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