Result
3:2
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Alef North - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Abed A. ⚽,
- 14', 2 - 0, Mowasi H. ⚽,
- 32', 3 - 0, Suleiman K. ⚽,
- 38', 3 - 1, Bayan A. R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 79', 🟥,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
58.9% | Draw
24.2% | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's form might have worsened.Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.35) |
3.76 ↓
(4.54) |
5.36 ↓
(7.62) |
10.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 2.
- Maccabi Nazareth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Maccabi Nazareth is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Nazareth won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Nazareth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Maccabi Ahi Nazareth won against Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won against Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm were as follows:
08.09.2025
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
-
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0:1
20.02.2023
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:2
28.10.2022
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
-
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
3:0
Latest results of Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Latest results of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | M. Nazareth | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | MS Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42:23 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Hapoel Karmiel | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:28 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 8 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 30 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 30 |
| 10 | H. Migdal HaEmek | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 28 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 | Araba | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 18 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16:42 | -26 | 12 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Leumit League
Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs
Relegation
