Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 35
- Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Petrunin D. 🟥,
- 36', 1 - 0, Piht K. ⚽, Laur K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 0, Piht K. ⚽, Sillamaa R. (A),
- 61', 3 - 0, Piht K. (Pen),
- 66', Sheviakov D. ↓, Jallow M. ↑,
- 66', Dubackic D. ↓, Sal-Al-Saller D. ↑,
- 66', Usta T. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 66', Sukunda Z. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
- 69', Kartau I. ↓, Karimu M. ↑,
- 69', Kelement M. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
- 69', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Sikk A. ↑,
- 69', Barengrub A. 🟨,
- 75', Karimu M. 🟨,
- 77', Ussa 🟨,
- 79', Jurisoo T. ↓, Ilves R. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Ilves R. ⚽, Laasner K. (A),
- 81', Sillamaa R. ↓, Kangur S. ↑,
- 89', Ussa ↓, Kesa M. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, Sikk A. ⚽, Piht K. (A),
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri
55.8% | Draw
21.9% | Tallinna Kalev
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harju JK Laagri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.66) |
4.21 ↑
(4) |
4.13 ↑
(4) |
8.6%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Kalev is Relegated to Esiliiga
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Harju has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Harju is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Harju won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Tallinna Kalev?
Harju JK Laagri has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Harju JK Laagri?
Tallinna Kalev has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
13.07.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Harju JK Laagri
3:1
03.05.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:3
09.03.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
31.10.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Tallinna Kalev
0:2
16.09.2023
Tallinna Kalev
-
Harju JK Laagri
2:1
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Levadia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Harju JK Laagri | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Paide | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Flora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Narva | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
