Result
3:1
13/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 20
- Referee: Laane K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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36% | 64% |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Smirnov R. ⚽, Sukunda Z. (A),
- 43', 2 - 0, Sukunda Z. ⚽, Usta T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 1, Eerme K. (Pen),
- 61', Kelement M. 🟨,
- 64', Kaevats A. 🟨,
- 69', Sillamaa R. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Usta T. ⚽, Sukunda Z. (A),
- 73', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
- 73', Kelement M. ↓, Sikk A. ↑,
- 84', Sukunda Z. ↓, Tomberg M. ↑,
- 84', Tsernjakov J. ↓, Ernits R. ↑,
- 85', Bergman A. 🟨,
- 88', Smirnov R. ↓, Mihhailov V. ↑,
- 88', Usta T. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
- 90+1', Purje A. ↓, Ilves R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev 29% | Draw 24.4% | Harju JK Laagri 46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tallinna Kalev - Harju JK Laagri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.15 ↓ (3.2) |
3.73 ↑ (3.67) |
1.95 (1.95) |
9.8% (9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Harju JK Laagri?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.
- Kalev is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Harju is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kalev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Harju could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Harju JK Laagri?
Tallinna Kalev has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Tallinna Kalev?
Harju JK Laagri has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Harju JK Laagri were as follows:
03.05.2025
Tallinna Kalev
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:3
09.03.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Tallinna Kalev
2:0
31.10.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Tallinna Kalev
0:2
16.09.2023
Tallinna Kalev
-
Harju JK Laagri
2:1
28.06.2023
Tallinna Kalev
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:1
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga