Harlequins vs Gloucester – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Harlequins - Gloucester
Result
38:19
10/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership Rugby - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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colombiaColombiaDisney+
germanyGermanyMore Than Sports TV
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peruPeruDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
63
Conversion Goals
42
Conversion Goal Attempts
42
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Metres Run With Ball
526392
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (28 - 7)
  • 9', Murley C. (Try),
  • 9', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 23', Evans W. (Try),
  • 24', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Harris C. , Atkinson C. ,
  • 30', Isgro R. (Try),
  • 31', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Wade C. (Try),
  • 33', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Clement J. , Clarke F. ,
  • 38', Murley C. (Try),
  • 39', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 12)
  • 41', Clarke F. , Clement J. ,
  • 46', Rapava-Ruskin V. , Knight C. ,
  • 46', Fasogbon A. , Gotovtsev K. ,
  • 46', Blake S. , Singleton J. ,
  • 48', Murley C. (Try),
  • 50', Morris J. , Cotgreave J. ,
  • 51', Dombrandt A. 🟨,
  • 54', Waghorn B. , Northmore L. ,
  • 54', Walker J. , Jibulu N. ,
  • 55', Ackermann R. 🟨,
  • 56', Isgro R. (Try),
  • 58', Thomas F. , Jordan C. ,
  • 60', Isgro R. , Benson J. ,
  • 63', Lamositele T. , Streeter O. ,
  • 64', Carreras S. (Try),
  • 65', Williams T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Kenningham J. , Lawday T. ,
  • 66', Baxter F. , Els J. ,
  • 66', Anscombe G. , Englefield C. ,
  • 66', Ackermann R. , Clarke F. ,
  • 67', Murley C. 🟨,
  • 68', Herbst I. , Launchbury J. ,
  • 71', Cotgreave J. (Try),
  • 78', Porter W. , Murray J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harlequins
58.2%
Draw
4%
Gloucester
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 4.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

89.9% 6.4% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harlequins's form might have worsened.
  • Gloucester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+31.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harlequins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Harlequins - Gloucester Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.47)
    23.28
    (20.75)
    2.49
    (2.92)
    7.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 67.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 1.
    • Harlequins is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gloucester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Harlequins has had a series of away games.
    • Harlequins might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 523:478. (average 26.2:23.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harlequins won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 334:271. (average 30.4:24.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harlequins - Gloucester were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Gloucester - Harlequins 14:0
    30.12.2023 Harlequins - Gloucester 32:26
    14.10.2023 Gloucester - Harlequins 29:28
    22.09.2023 Gloucester - Harlequins 25:17
    17.02.2023 Gloucester - Harlequins 28:26
    Latest results of Harlequins
    19.04.2025 Harlequins - Sale Sharks 29:43
    05.04.2025 Leinster - Harlequins 62:0
    29.03.2025 Bath - Harlequins 47:28
    22.03.2025 Saracens - Harlequins 12:23
    Latest results of Gloucester
    27.04.2025 Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs 79:17
    19.04.2025 Saracens - Gloucester 36:14
    13.04.2025 Bath - Gloucester 61:26
    05.04.2025 Montpellier - Gloucester 17:24
    29.03.2025 Gloucester - Bristol Rugby 53:28
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bath (1)Bristol (4)34 : 20
    2Leicester Tigers (2)Sale Sharks (3)21 : 16

    Final
    1Bath (1)Leicester Tigers (2)23 : 21