Result
19:26
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership Rugby - Round 11
- Referee: Cox S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 67 | 60 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 410 | 329 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 7)
- 5', Clement J. (Try),
- 6', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Williams T. ↓, Englefield C. ↑,
- 18', Waghorn B. (Try),
- 19', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Smith M. (Try),
- 27', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Ludlow L. 🟨,
- 40', Atkinson C. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (5 - 19)
- 41', Williams H. ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 49', Kerrod S. ↓, Hobson W. ↑,
- 49', Townsend S. ↓, Friday L. ↑,
- 49', Trenholm W. ↓, Gwynne D. ↑,
- 57', Murley C. ↓, Green T. ↑,
- 57', Redshaw B. (Try),
- 58', Atkinson C. (Missed Conversion),
- 58', Thorley O. ↓, Barton G. ↑,
- 60', Driscoll S. ↓, Carr Z. ↑,
- 63', Walker J. ↓, Musk J. ↑,
- 63', Kenningham J. (Try),
- 64', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Llewellyn M. ↓, Edwards-Giraud J. ↑,
- 65', Atkinson C. (Try),
- 66', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Treadwell K. ↓, Green J. ↑,
- 69', Bradley B. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
- 71', Clark A. (Try),
- 72', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Harlequins
62.3% | Draw
4.2% | Gloucester
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harlequins's form might have worsened.Gloucester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harlequins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harlequins - Gloucester Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.36) |
22.03 ↑
(20.47) |
2.77 ↓
(3.43) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Harlequins - Gloucester?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Harlequins will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -6.5 - Harlequins (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Harlequins (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:26.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Harlequins is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Harlequins will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 508:458. (average 25.4:22.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harlequins won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 304:225. (average 30.4:22.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harlequins won against Gloucester?
Harlequins has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gloucester won against Harlequins?
Gloucester has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harlequins - Gloucester were as follows:
29.11.2025
Gloucester
-
Harlequins
26:15
10.05.2025
Harlequins
-
Gloucester
38:19
20.12.2024
Gloucester
-
Harlequins
14:0
30.12.2023
Harlequins
-
Gloucester
32:26
14.10.2023
Gloucester
-
Harlequins
29:28
Latest results of Harlequins
Latest results of Gloucester
English Premiership Rugby Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton Saints | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 418:309 | 48 |
| 2 | Bath | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 405:252 | 46 |
| 3 | Exeter Chiefs | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 336:207 | 45 |
| 4 | Leicester Tigers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 336:257 | 41 |
| 5 | Bristol | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 309:268 | 37 |
| 6 | Saracens | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 398:310 | 32 |
| 7 | Sale Sharks | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 299:323 | 20 |
| 8 | Gloucester | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 240:354 | 16 |
| 9 | Harlequins | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 215:379 | 11 |
| 10 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 208:505 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup
