Harold Mayot vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Karatsev A. retired
30/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
62%59%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (18/21)54% (13/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (5/13)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
50% (12/24)19% (4/21)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (9/17)62% (8/13)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)50% (1/2)
Winners
1212
Unforced Errors
1524
Net Points Won
100% (1/1)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
68% (23/34)49% (20/41)
Return Points Won
51% (21/41)32% (11/34)
Total Points Won
59% (44/75)41% (31/75)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
83% (5/6)43% (3/7)
Return Games Won
57% (4/7)17% (1/6)
Total Games Won
69% (9/13)31% (4/13)

Chances of winning


Harold Mayot
42.2%
Aslan Karatsev
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harold Mayot's form might have worsened.
  • Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harold Mayot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.87)

    1.62
    (1.88)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mayot is ranked ATP: 132. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 195.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Harold Mayot
    25.03.2025 Harold Mayot - Borna Coric 0:2
    21.03.2025 Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong De Jong J. walkover
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2