Result
1:3
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (301/424) | 52% (97/188) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (301/424) | 52% (97/188) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (42/88) | 27% (20/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (113/197) | 51% (37/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Brenan T. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Evans J. ⚽, Brenan T. (A),
- 30', Burns D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 2, Green K. ⚽, McJannet C. (A),
- 45+2', Cook A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Headman C. 🟨,
- 60', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 67', McCoulsky S. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 72', Thomson G. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
- 72', Smith R. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 72', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 72', Walker J. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
- 79', Brenan T. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Morris B. ⚽, Sutton L. (A),
- 85', Kacurri M. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 85', Turi G. D. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 90+1', Morris B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gray H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
61.6% | Draw
22.3% | Harrogate Town
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.55) |
4.2 ↑
(3.91) |
5.79 ↑
(5.63) |
7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- Grimsby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Harrogate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grimsby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Grimsby is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Khouri E.
(Inactive)
Sellars-Fleming T.
(Injury)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
Vernam C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Harrogate Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Grimsby Town?
Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Grimsby Town
3:3
12.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:2
26.12.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
09.04.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:0
23.12.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
