Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (212/352) | 72% (297/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (212/352) | 72% (297/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (31/85) | 40% (34/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (70/157) | 69% (77/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Headman C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hammond O. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
- 51', Sutton W. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
- 52', Drummond K. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
- 58', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 59', Evans J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Leake J. ⚽, Monthe M. (A),
- 64', Muldoon J. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 65', Hill T. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
- 65', Taylor E. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
- 75', Headman C. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
- 77', Smith R. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
- 80', Garner J. 🟨,
- 87', Monthe M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Woods R. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic
55.6% | Draw
25.6% | Harrogate Town
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harrogate Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harrogate Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.41) |
3.69 ↓
(4.2) |
4.94 ↓
(7.27) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Oldham has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Harrogate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Oldham is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Kavanagh C.
(Inactive)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Oldham will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Harrogate Town?
Oldham Athletic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Oldham Athletic?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Harrogate Town were as follows:
08.11.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Oldham Athletic
0:1
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
