Result
0:0
18/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 10
- Referee: Talic A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/507) | 78% (313/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/507) | 78% (313/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (117/170) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Fillafer M. 🟨,
- 11', Harakate R. 🟨,
- 31', Oberleitner Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 69', Jano Z. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 69', Cipot T. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
- 72', Kainz T. 🟨,
- 82', Italiano J. ↓, Schiestl T. ↑,
- 82', Satin M. ↓, Schriebl T. ↑,
- 90+1', Havel E. ↓, Korherr D. ↑,
- 90+1', Koch T. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
30.3% | Draw
30.7% | Hartberg
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grazer AK's form might have worsened.Hartberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartberg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grazer AK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grazer AK - Hartberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.52) |
3.07 ↓
(3.2) |
2.46 ↓
(2.8) |
5.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Hartberg?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Hartberg will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartberg: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Hartberg: Fridrikas L.
(Concussion)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Hartberg?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Grazer AK?
Hartberg has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Hartberg were as follows:
25.04.2025
Hartberg
-
Grazer AK
1:1
22.04.2025
Grazer AK
-
Hartberg
0:3
08.12.2024
Grazer AK
-
Hartberg
0:3
31.08.2024
Hartberg
-
Grazer AK
1:1
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Ried | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Altach | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Hartberg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | LASK | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Tirol | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
