Result
1:1
25/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 28
- Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (478/566) | 70% (216/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (478/566) | 70% (216/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/71) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/114) | 48% (41/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Prokop D. ⚽, Avdijaj D. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Cipot T. ⚽, Lichtenberger C. (A),
- 45+2', Lichtenberger C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Filipovic P. ↓, Tikvic A. ↑,
- 61', Diarra Y. ↓, Kainz T. ↑,
- 61', Jano Z. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 62', Perchtold M. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
- 72', Prokop D. ↓, Drew J. ↑,
- 72', Mijic P. ↓, Havel E. ↑,
- 77', Cipot T. ↓, Rosenberger B. ↑,
- 86', Avdijaj D. ↓, Hoffmann M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hartberg
45.4% | Draw
27.2% | Grazer AK
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Hartberg - Grazer AK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2) |
3.45 ↓
(3.49) |
3.46 ↓
(3.62) |
5.9%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hartberg - Grazer AK?
Users Predictions:
Hartberg will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hartberg will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Hartberg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Grazer is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Hartberg have a series of guest games.
- Hartberg will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Hartberg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hartberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Grazer AK?
Hartberg has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Hartberg?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - Grazer AK were as follows:
22.04.2025
Grazer AK
-
Hartberg
0:3
08.12.2024
Grazer AK
-
Hartberg
0:3
31.08.2024
Hartberg
-
Grazer AK
1:1
Latest results of Hartberg
Latest results of Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Tirol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Altach | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
