Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 25
- Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (182/269) | 83% (357/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (182/269) | 83% (357/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (33/79) | 34% (13/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (44/86) | 78% (124/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 48% (10/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Havel E. ⚽, Drew J. (A),
- 36', Konate K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Drexler T. ↓, Lainer S. ↑,
- 46', Kratzig F. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
- 51', Lainer S. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Konate K. ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 2, Kitano S. ⚽, Baidoo E. (A),
- 59', Schmid M. 🟨,
- 62', Drew J. ↓, Hoffmann M. ↑,
- 62', Hennig M. ↓, Pazourek L. ↑,
- 62', Fridrikas L. ↓, Aziz M. ↑,
- 70', Terzic A. 🟨,
- 70', Baidoo E. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
- 74', Hulsmann T. 🟨,
- 79', Kainz T. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
- 83', Spendlhofer L. 🟥,
- 88', Konate K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 90+4', Kitano S. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hartberg
16.8% | Draw
23.4% | Red Bull Salzburg
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.63 ↑
(5.04) |
4.04 ↓
(4.09) |
1.58 ↓
(1.63) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Hartberg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Hartberg (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Hartberg (5.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartberg (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0.
- In recent matches, Hartberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Salzburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
Schopp K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A.
(Red Card)
Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Lainer S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Hartberg: Vincze D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:65. (average 0.7:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:33. (average 0.6:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Hartberg has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Hartberg?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
01.03.2026
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Hartberg
0:0
16.08.2025
Hartberg
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:2
04.12.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Hartberg
4:0
30.11.2024
Hartberg
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:1
12.05.2024
Hartberg
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:5
Latest results of Hartberg
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | LASK | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 25 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
