Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (590/669) | 57% (112/195) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 67 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (590/669) | 57% (112/195) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (26/43) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (253/307) | 43% (24/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (14/49) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Drexler T. ↓, Chase A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fridrikas L. ↓, Hoffmann M. ↑,
- 57', Diabate S. 🟨,
- 58', Konate K. 🟨,
- 63', Havel E. ↓, Drew J. ↑,
- 67', Trummer T. ↓, Terzic A. ↑,
- 67', Baidoo E. ↓, Redzic D. ↑,
- 68', Yeo M. K. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
- 80', Diarra Y. ↓, Halwachs J. ↑,
- 84', Diabate S. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 90+4', Vincze D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
64.5% | Draw
20.5% | Hartberg
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+3%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.53) |
4.57 ↑
(3.9) |
6.3 ↑
(5.25) |
5.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Hartberg will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Hartberg (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Hartberg (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Hartberg (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 4.
- Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hartberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hartberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Salzburg has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Hartberg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Salzburg is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Salzburg: Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vertessen Y.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Hartberg: Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Salzburg: Alajbegovic K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:14. (average 3.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:7. (average 3.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Hartberg?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Hartberg has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg were as follows:
16.08.2025
Hartberg
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:2
04.12.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Hartberg
4:0
30.11.2024
Hartberg
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:1
12.05.2024
Hartberg
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:5
17.03.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Hartberg
5:1
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
